Chinese yuan ends stronger

16 Jul, 2005

The yuan on Friday ended two notches stronger at 8.2763 per US dollar, near the stronger end of its managed trading range. The one-year non-deliverable dollar forward discount versus the yuan stood at 4,550 points, implying a rate of 7.823 yuan per dollar in 12 months' time. Earlier, traders had spotted heavy buying of two- and three-month NDFs after the Financial Times reported the US administration had told senators it expected China to revalue the yuan in August.
Two-month NDFs hit 1,050 points - a level last seen in May and pricing in the yuan at about 8.17 at the end of two months. Three-month NDFs had priced the yuan nearly 2 percent higher at 8.12. One-year implied yuan volatility was traded at 6.5/7.5 percent.
Implied volatility is a measure of how much the options market expects the price of the underlying asset to move during the life of the option. The yuan moves in a band of 8.2760 to 8.2800 enforced by the central bank.
Turnover came to a heavy $1.69 billion on Friday. The yuan strengthened a tad to 7.3930 per 100 Japanese yen from 7.3988, but weakened against the euro to 10.0054 from 9.9926.

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