New York cocoa extends losses

20 Jul, 2006

US cocoa futures settled sharply lower on Tuesday, losing 13 percent in two days, as funds continued to liquidate their huge long position following the market's spike to 16-month highs last week, sources said.
"The mass exodus continues. We've retraced back to where we were in early June, but I think there is more room to the downside," said one NYBOT floor dealer. The New York Board of Trade's benchmark cocoa contract for September settled down $61 at $1,497 per tonne, after dealing from a one-month low at $1,492 to its session peak at $1,515.
"Obviously, the charts look like hell, but we're now in a technical support area. The market is oversold you have had a sell-off of over $200 in a couple of days, so I don't think I would press the short-side down here," said one broker at a New York trading house, pegging first support at $1,485, and then down to $1,465.
After putting in its most recent bottom on June 14 at $1,486, NYBOT cocoa surged nearly 17 percent to $1,738 on July 11 - its loftiest level since March 2005.
Deferred or back month contracts ended with losses ranging from $56 to $59.
NYBOT floor traders estimated 32,588 contracts of cocoa futures traded hands on Tuesday, compared Monday's official count at 32,969 lots.
Fundamentally, expectations of a narrowing global supply deficit for the 2005/06 season combined with improving crop prospects for the 2006/07 harvest should hinder any significant moves higher, analysts said.
Meanwhile, good weather conditions have persisted into mid-July for the development of Ivory Coast's upcoming October-March cocoa main crop season, boding well for next season's October-March main crop, farmers said on Tuesday.
In London, benchmark September cocoa closed down 43 pounds, or 4.7 percent, at 864 pounds a tonne after dealing between 901 and 861 pounds. Total volume reached 34,568 lots.

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