US jobless claims edge down, inventories pick up

08 Jun, 2007

Fewer US workers signed up for unemployment aid last week, underscoring stability in the labour market, and inventories at US wholesalers picked up in April in a sign businesses are preparing for more demand later this year.
The numbers of US workers signing up for first-time unemployment benefits slipped by 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 309,000 for the week ended June 2, the Labour Department reported.
"The core story here, though, remains that companies are not laying people off at the sort of pace that would normally be expected given the slowdown in economic growth. We are very curious to see if this can persist as consumption slows markedly in the face of the surge in gas prices," said Ian Shepherdson, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.
Economists polled ahead of the jobless claims report were expecting initial jobless claims to remain unchanged at a seasonally adjusted 310,000 from the prior week.
The four-week moving average of jobless claims, which irons out weekly fluctuations in this data, moved up to 307,250 from 304,500. A separate Commerce Department report showed inventories at US wholesalers rising 0.3 percent in April as stocks of non-durable goods posted the biggest percentage increase in five months.
The rise in inventories matched economist expectations for a 0.3 percent rise after March's previously reported 0.3 percent gain. Financial markets showed little reaction to the data on Thursday as they focused on the US Treasury bond market, where prices on the benchmark 10-year Treasury plunged and drove yields up above 5 percent.
The inventories-to-sales ratio, a measure of how quickly stocks would be depleted at the current sales pace, fell for the fourth straight month, dropping to 1.12 months from 1.13 months in March, according to the Commerce Department data.
"The decline in the wholesale inventory-sales ratio to a record low level supports our view that inventory levels are inadequate and inventory accumulation going forward is likely to support growth," economists at Bear Stearns wrote in a report shortly after release of the Commerce Department data.
Stocks of durable goods, items meant to last at least three years, fell 0.5 percent in April, the biggest drop since July 2003, after a 0.1 percent decline in March.
But inventories of non-durable goods rose 1.6 percent, the biggest monthly gain since November of last year. However, much of that gain reflected a 6.3 percent increase in petroleum stocks ahead of heavy demand expected during the summer driving months.
Automotive inventories fell 3.5 percent, the largest drop since a 4.0 percent fall in April 1998.retail sales warm up. US retail chains on Thursday reported moderate May sales increases as warmer weather fuelled demand for seasonal items, like gardening and other outdoor goods, helping retailers rebound from a dismal April.
But several specialty apparel chains posted disappointing results, due in part to weak sales of women's clothes and increased competition from department stores trying to lure fashionable shoppers.
Among retailers reporting May sales at stores open at least a year, 57 percent exceeded Wall Street expectations while 41 percent fell short, according to research firm Retail Metrics. The performance was better than the firm's long-term average.
"Strong upsides from the department stores, particularly the high end, specialty apparel retailers and discounters fuelled a solid snap back in May comparable sales," wrote Retail Metrics president Ken Perkins.

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