Yen soars as investors shun risk

11 Aug, 2007

The yen rose sharply on Thursday as investors ran from risky low-interest rate-funded trades following further revelations the US subprime mortgage crisis has spread to Europe.
The euro fell as much as 2 percent against the yen and 1 percent against the dollar after France's largest listed bank, BNP Paribas, temporarily suspended redemptions at three funds worth 1.6 billion euros ($2.2 billion), sending overnight US and euro zone borrowing rates soaring.
The high-yielding Australian and New Zealand dollars dropped by more than 2 percent against the yen, as investors scrambled to unwind carry trades. In carry trades, investors borrow in low-yield currencies like the yen to finance investments denominated in high-yield currencies.
"It's a flight from risk," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist at Westpac Bank in New York. "Those currencies with high yields that have been backed by speculative inflow have been crushed."
Reflecting liquidity fears, European overnight borrowing rates spiked to their highest level since October 2001, prompting the European Central Bank to inject around 95 billion euros ($130 billion) into the system in a quick overnight tender.
In late afternoon New York trading, the dollar was down 1.21 percent against the yen at 118.18 yen, while the euro slid 2.08 percent to 161.64 yen, the biggest daily rise in two years.
US equities markets sputtered, with the Dow Jones industrial average down by 2.83 percent, as investors turned to safe-haven US Treasury bonds. In recent weeks, the yen has maintained a tight negative correlation with US stocks, with investors buying back yen when stock prices fall. Implied volatility on one-week euro/yen options, a gauge of the magnitude of swings expected in the spot market, jumped briefly to the highest since April 2004, according to Reuters data.
The euro slipped 0.88 percent to $1.3673, well below July's record high near $1.3850. Meanwhile, high-yielding currencies fell, contrasting with Wednesday's trend, when investors embraced carry trades after the Federal Reserve predicted sustained economic growth.
Underscoring the extent of the problems in the credit market, the costs to insure the debt of Bear Stearns Cos. and mortgage lender Countrywide Financial Corp rose on Thursday.

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