Cement: DG KHAN CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED - Financial Statements Analysis June 2002 to December 2006

15 Aug, 2007

DGKC was established in 1978 under the management control of the State Cement Corporation of Pakistan (SCCP) and commenced production in April 1986. The company is a unit of the Nishat Group and is the largest cement manufacturing unit in Pakistan.
The company is listed on all the three stock exchanges of Pakistan. The company manufactures two types of cement: Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) and Sulphate Resistant Cement (SRC). The Ordinary Portland Cement is marketed under the DG brand and Elephant brand. SRC is marketed as the DG brand Sulphate Resistant Cement.
DGKC is one of the market leaders in cement industry, with a market share of 10.5%, second only to Lucky Cement. It is one of the most cost efficient companies in the industry.
In the half year ended December 2006, the sales of the company were increased upto 12%. The exports of the company were declined, but the expansion in capacity with the commencement of the Chakwal plant, may lead to more exports, as the company would be able to cater to the needs both local and foreign demand.
DG Khan Cement situated in the heart of the country with an expanded capacity of 4.2mtpa, substantial investment in MCB and Nishat Mills, improving fuel efficiency, seems all set to benefit from the economic growth of Pakistan. The company holds a strong position in the northern region, which caters to 80% of the total demand. This is evident from the fact that despite a decline in the capacity from 10% to 7% due to early expansion by other players, DGKC managed to maintain its market share of 11%.
The company has improved its asset management in terms of inventory turnover, so that now, it enjoys a position better than that of the average industry. In HY07, a sharp upturn was registered. The DSO for the company hovers around 4, compared to the much higher industry average of about 11 days. This leads to DGKC's operating cycle being much shorter than competitors.
The total assets turnover and sales to equity ratios have registered a decline over the last few years. This was largely due to the expansions underway which increased the total assets and equity of the company. This led to the decline in the ratios despite increases in sales value. In HY07, reduction in sales value was occurred due to the price war with other companies.
The capacity utilisation stood at 111% in HY07 and 110.7% in HY06, therefore, the below average TATO may not be reflective of inefficiencies in productions. The recent completion of the Chakwal expansion plant would bring about a change in this ratio as DGKC increases its sales volume to cater to the growing demand in the country. The plant was expected to start commercial production in June 2007.
DGKC has been enjoying increasing gross profit margins in recent years except in HY07. The net profit margin, on the other hand has been going downhill since FY05. In FY06, profit margin fell despite higher sales prices and a 51% increase in net sales.
A 48% hike in financial expenses was also an important factor that year. In the first half of FY07, a supply glut triggered price war, led to an erosion of the gross as well as net profit margins. This decrease in profit margins in HY07 occurred despite a 13% increase in sales compared to the same period last year. The profit margins have remained higher than industry averages throughout the period under analysis. Cost efficiencies due to fuel-efficient plants and economies of scale are the major reasons for this trend. The recent expansion using state-of-the-art EU technology will lead to more cost efficiency.
The ROA and ROE of the company have followed a trend similar to the profit margin and remained below that of competitors' averages except for the ROA in HY07. This situation may improve with the commencement of operations in the newly expanded lines and plants when they will start generating returns. Other than being cost-efficient, DGKC has an advantage due to its equity investments, which act as a buffer in times of low prices. The companies in the portfolio are stable, safe and profitable, and dividend income is subsequently expected to increase in the coming years.
The liquidity position of the DGKC has been strengthening since FY05, remaining above the industry average at the same time. Growth in equity investments was the major contributing factor leading to the improvement in liquidity over the last few years. This increase in investments has yielded results in the form of higher dividend income, which have accentuated the profits.
The debt to asset ratio has shown marked improvement over the last five years decreasing from 59.7% in FY02 to 41% in HY07. This has also brought it below the industry average. The long-term debt to equity for DGKC has been declining over the last few years in contrast to the increasing industry averages. This has been a result of retention of profits as well as issuance of new shares. The ratio has declined in the face of increasing long-term liabilities. The TIE has also shown good performance over the years. In FY06, the ratio fell despite a 48% increase in financial charges.
The book value ratio of DGKC has been on a positive trend although it saw a decline in the HY07. The DPS stayed at 1.5, which is a slight improvement over the previous years. The increasing trend of EPS was broken in the HY07, as it fell to 3.4 from 5.46 during the same period last year. This can be attributed to the lower profits due to lower sales prices as well as an increase in the number of shares issued.
Overall the company has performed well during the last few years. Its strong marketing enabled it to maintain its market share at 11% in the face of capacity addition by rivals. With the commissioning of its plant at Chakwal, DGKC will be able to take advantage of the increasing demand in the industry, increasing its sales volume as well as profits.
Furthermore, DGKC is considered to be the best beneficiary of exports to India due to its location close to the Wagah border. Hence with the newly installed capacity, the company will be able to benefit from greater exports. Besides this, DGKC has also decided to set up its green field project in the south. This will ensure proximity to the sea, reducing transport cost and expediting exports. Hence DGKC has potential to do well in the future.
Budget 2008 and its impact on the sector. The government announced a PSDP of Rs 520bn this year ensuring a growth in cement demand as infrastructure constructions increase. Besides this, healthy GDP growth rate of around 7% this year, will lead to an increase in local demand for cement. However, the budget did not discuss the opening of the land route for cement exports to India, which may be a setback as DGKC is poised to be the main beneficiary of such a decision because of its unique location.



==========================================================================================
INCOME STATEMENT
==========================================================================================
(Rs in '000) FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Sales 2,992,006 3,882,756 5,279,560 7,955,665 3,247,507
Cost of Sales 2,314,330 2,497,262 3,330,769 3,992,822 2,059,328
Gross Profit 677,676 1,385,494 1,948,791 3,962,843 1,188,179
Operating Expenses 78,645 168,940 231,171 348,155 157,230
Other Operating Income 185,204 128,462 707,692 294,114 248,466
Finance Cost 410,014 224,601 304,041 450,696 250,624
Taxation -128,082 325,922 439,193 1,030,078 163,000
Profit for the Year 483,592 794,493 1,682,078 2,418,455 854,556
==========================================================================================
BALANCE SHEET
==========================================================================================
(Rs in '000) FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Total Non Current Assets 7,459,588 8,833,476 13,819,736 24,394,481 27,537,712
Current Assets: 2,051,813 2,881,143 4,196,769 9,909,895 11,740,693
Total Assets 9,511,401 11,714,619 18,016,505 34,304,376 39,278,405
Paid-Up Share Capital 2,029,816 1,676,306 1,843,937 1,843,937 2,535,412
Reserves 3,051,680 4,389,088 7,196,568 15,085,354 19,504,100
Total Equity 7,114,911 7,993,361 11,161,935 21,112,137 25,589,415
Non-Current Liabilities 3057914 3020575 5642649 9020740 11,034,398
Current Liabilities 1517392 2628435 3055858 6015436 5,190,004
Total Liabilities 4575306 5397564 8698507 15036176 16,224,402
==========================================================================================
ASSET MANAGEMENT FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
ITO (Days) 102.85 105.33 77.47 48.07 78.22
Days Sales Outstanding 1.83 4.88 5.20 3.36 4.34
Operating Cycle 104.68 110.21 82.66 51.43 82.56
Sales/Equity 0.42 0.49 0.47 0.38 0.13
==========================================================================================
DEBT MANAGEMENT FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Debt To Asset 47.36 46.08 48.28 43.83 38.80
Debt /Equity 0.64 0.68 0.78 0.71 0.63
Times Interest Earned 1.91 5.99 7.98 8.67 5.10
Long term debt to equity 42.98 37.79 50.55 42.73 43.12
==========================================================================================
PROFITABILITY FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Gross Profit Margin % 22.65 35.68 36.91 49.81 36.59
Profit Margin on Sales % 16.16 20.46 31.86 30.40 26.31
Return on Assets % 5.01 6.78 9.34 7.05 2.18
Return on Equity % 10.22 12.58 18.05 12.55 3.34
==========================================================================================
LIQUIDITY FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Current Ratio: 1.34 1.21 1.37 1.65 2.26
==========================================================================================
PER SHARE FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 HY'07
==========================================================================================
Earnings Per Share 2.88 4.74 9.12 13.12 3.40
Dividend Per Share 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.50
Price Earning ratio 8.18 9.80 7.42 6.61 25.17
Book Value 42.44 47.68 60.53 114.50 100.93
==========================================================================================
================================================================
INCOME STATEMENT (Rs in '000) DEC'05 DEC'06
================================================================
Sales 3,686,556 3,247,507
Cost of Sales 1,864,927 2,059,328
Gross Profit 1,821,629 1,188,179
Administrative expenses 38,288 50,209
Selling and dist expenses 14,565 24,723
Other operating expenses 92,038 82,298
Other operating income 132,104 248,466
Finance costs 212,360 250,624
Taxation 464,000 163,000
Profit for the period 1,132,482 854,556
================================================================
KEY RATIOS DEC'05 DEC'06
================================================================
Gross Profit Margin % 49.4% 36.59%
Profit Margin on Sales % 30.7% 26.31%
Earnings Per Share 5.46 3.4
================================================================

COURTESY: Economics and Finance Department, Institute of Business Administration, Karachi.

Read Comments