Canadian dollar up over a cent

11 May, 2008

The Canadian dollar rose more than a cent against the US dollar on Friday, a move attributed to technical factors as well as domestic jobs data, against a positive backdrop of record-setting oil prices. Domestic bond prices rallied, playing catch-up with the larger US market.
The Canadian dollar closed at C$1.0056 to the US dollar, or 99.44 US cents, up from C$1.0171 to the US dollar, or 98.32 US cents, at Thursday's close. It was a choppy week for the currency, bouncing from C$1.02 to the US dollar to parity over two days, and then back to C$1.0170 in two days, but ultimately it ended 1.4 percent higher.
"I don't think there is anything really in terms of data releases that would have spurred that level of volatility," said Gareth Sylvester, senior currency strategist at HIFX in San Francisco. "So that would lead us to suggest it was more of a technical-style move rather than anything else," he said.
The Canadian dollar shot higher early in the session after a report showed the economy performed better than expected in April. The currency then gave back some of its gains as details of the data were digested. The Statistic Canada report showed 19,200 jobs were created in April, while 10,000 had been expected.
Other details, however, showed the unemployment rate edged higher to 6.1 percent from 6.0 percent in March, the wage measure component eased, and private-sector employment declined. "The continuing shedding of manufacturing jobs is really a concern," Sylvester added. "You're sitting at 111,000 jobs lost year-to-date (in manufacturing), so that's still a concern."
With the mixed reading, the week's most anticipated piece of data did nothing to alter the outlook for domestic interest rates. The Bank of Canada is still expected to lower its key rate by 25 basis points to 2.75 percent at its next scheduled announcement date on June 10.
A rise in oil prices to a new high above $126 a barrel provided a positive backdrop for the Canadian dollar. However, concerns about the sustainability of prices at that level, in light of slowing global growth, prevented crude from being a rallying point for the currency, Sylvester said.

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