Thailand's bond spreads widened on Monday as continued protests against the prime minister intensified concerns about political instability, while Malaysia's debt was hit by uncertainty over its fiscal standing.
Regional bond spreads also moved out as stock markets slumped on worries over corporate profits, and as inflation fears returned after Hurricane Gustav's approach to the US Gulf coast pushed up oil prices. Investors also worry a slew of expected new issuance this month could keep spreads from tightening.
Hong Kong's Wing Hang Bank was first out of the gate, setting guidance for its sale of perpetual bonds at a coupon of 9.5 to 10 percent, a source said on Monday, though no size has been determined. "Thailand is the main focus today. It really depends on how the current political situation is going to be handled. Malaysia is also facing a deteriorating domestic financial situation," said a Hong Kong-based trader.
Thailand's five-year credit default swaps or insurance-like contracts that protect against defaults or restructuring, widened by 8-10 basis points to 140. The country's sovereign bond spreads have pushed out by some 20 basis points since August 26, when protesters began occupying Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej's official compound, vowing to remain until he and his elected government fall.
The concerns over political instability overshadowed data on Monday showing Thailand's annual inflation rate was much lower than expected at 6.4 percent in August. Concerns over Malaysia also took centre stage after the government on Friday announced an expansionary federal budget that would push the budget deficit well beyond the government's earlier targets.
Malaysia's five-year CDS pushed out by some 5-8 basis points to about 125 since the news. Investors have been deeply concerned about surging inflation in the region at a time of slowing regional economic growth, though there are signs that interest rate increases in the region may be nearing their peak.
Regional bond spreads widened on Monday as concerns over the outlook for earnings, especially in the technology sector, sent Asian stocks tumbling. The iTRAXX Asia ex-Japan high-yield index, a key measure of risk aversion, widened by 7-8 basis points to 560, while the equivalent investment-grade index moved out by 3 bps to 158.
A handful of issuers are expected to sell debt this month, as fundraising needs become more urgent as the end of the year approaches. Wing Hang Bank is expected to price its offering of perpetual bonds, which are intended as upper Tier 2 capital, later this week, according to a source involved in the deal.