India on Thursday set an ambitious 20 percent target for biofuels use within a decade, threatening to revive the food-versus-fuel debate just as global food prices stabilise to the relief of poor consumers and governments.
Prices of grains like rice and wheat have fallen from record levels in 2007 and early 2008 as fears of shortages have eased, largely due to bumper crops in major producing countries like India, the world's second-biggest grower of the two staples.
Critics partly blamed biofuels for the earlier price spike, which had encouraged many countries, including India, to restrict exports of most grains to avoid shortages. "An indicative target of 20 percent blending by 2017 may be kept, both for bio-diesel and bio-ethanol," the government said in a statement on Thursday.
India imports 70 percent of the oil it consumes and has already asked oil firms to mix ethanol with petrol to 5 percent of volume almost nation-wide. It aims to double that to 10 percent from October 2008, when the new cane-crushing season begins.
World Bank economist Don Mitchell has said large increases in biofuels production in the United States and Europe were the main reason behind the steep rise in global food prices, which have now eased from their highs.
Benchmark rice prices in Thailand are at $735 per tonne, well below $1,080 per tonne level in April. On Wednesday, benchmark September wheat in Chicago settled 4-? cents lower at $7.06-3/4, touching one-year lows. Analysts say any increase in the use of ethanol would encourage farmers to plant more sugarcane, leading to a fall in acreage of other commodities.
The jump in food prices helped drive inflation in many countries around the world. India's annual wholesale inflation rate surged into double digits in early June.
In India, ethanol is made from cane, unlike in the US, where corn is the main source for the alternative fuel. Greater use of biofuels will intensify the debate on the use of farmland for fuel in India, and encourage farmers to reduce grain cultivation for food, said T.K. Bhaumik, an economist with Assocham, a leading business chamber.
"Land is not elastic. If there is more pressure to grow oilseeds or corn to derive biofuels and farmers get a good price for them, they will obviously neglect grain production," he said. He said fuel consumption in India was rising about 7 percent annually, requiring a proportionate increase in blended biofuel.