Dollar steady

10 Jun, 2009

The dollar was steady against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, staying below a two-week high scaled after US jobs data last week stoked expectations for a Federal Reserve rate rise later this year. The euro faced some selling pressure after the Wall Street Journal reported on its website that the United States is likely to press European countries to put their banks through more rigorous public stress tests.
Data last week showed the pace of US job losses slowed sharply in May, sparking talk that the Federal Reserve may raise rates later this year and boosting the dollar. Traders said they were focusing on economic indicators and upcoming auctions for US debt that could underscore this shift in market sentiment.
"I would say investors are trying to grasp how the market will move after US Treasury auctions and economic data," said Yoshihisa Kanzaki, a currency dealer at Shinkin Central Bank. There will be an auction of three-year US Treasury notes later in the day and auctions of 10-year and 30-year US Treasuries later in the week. The dollar index, which measures the dollar's value against a basket of six major currencies, was steady at 80.770, having retreated from Monday's high of 81.466, the highest since May 20. US two-year yields stood at 1.378 percent, after rising above 1.4 percent on Monday for the first time in seven months.
On Friday, US short-term interest rate futures, which track market expectations for Fed rate policy, had their first meaningful move in months - bringing forward the possible timing of a Fed rate hike to late 2009 from early 2010. The euro dipped 0.1 percent to $1.3889, after falling to $1.3853 earlier in the day.
The euro had fallen on Monday to its lowest since late May of $1.3806 on trading platform EBS, after ratings agency Standard & Poor's cut Ireland's sovereign credit rating to AA, its second downgrade in three months. Sterling was steady at $1.6051. It was well off Monday's low of $1.5803, hit when support for Prime Minister Gordon Brown's ruling Labour Party in European parliament elections on Sunday plunged to its lowest level in a century, adding to uncertainty about his political future.
The yen rose broadly, with the euro slipping 0.6 percent to 136.15 yen. The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 98.06 yen, pulling back from a one-month high of 98.90 yen hit on EBS on Friday. Traders said the dollar dipped against the yen due to selling by Japanese exporters, while the euro fell versus the yen on selling by Japanese institutional investors.
The strength of investor risk appetite is also in focus following a three-month rally in global equities as hopes grew that the worst of the global recession may be over. The recovery in risk appetite eroded safe-haven demand for the dollar and helped push the dollar index down to a low of 78.334 last week, the lowest since last December.
Market players have taken comfort from signs that economic activity around the world has stopped worsening, but the absolute level is still low, said Kimihiko Tomita, head of foreign exchange for State Street Global Markets in Tokyo.

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