US soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade rose 2 percent on Tuesday as the weakness in the dollar fuelled a recovery bounce, traders said. The dollar fell on speculation the Federal Reserve may keep debt costs low by reducing expectations for higher interest rates at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday.
The soy market was oversold going into the session and due for a bounce. A tight supply of nearby cash soybeans underpins prices, keeping the July-November spread strong. Jul-November spread firmed 4 cents. Old-crop July soybeans closed 27-1/2 cents higher at $11.79 a bushel. New-crop November ended 23-1/2 up at $10.04-1/2.
The nine-day relative strength index for July was at 44 at the close, up from 34 on Monday. An RSI of 30 or lower is one indicator of a technically oversold market. July soymeal ended $11.50 per ton higher at $388.50. July soyoil closed up 1 cent at 36.93 cents per lb. Some positioning before expiration of July options on Friday. Traders eyeing the $12 strike in soybeans for potential volatility given the large, remaining open interest.
Commodity funds bought 5,000 soybean contracts, 1,000 soymeal and 1,000 soyoil -traders. Volume moderate. Estimated soybean trade was 118,181 futures and 58,377 options. Soymeal volume seen at 56,034 futures and 3,930 options. Soyoil trade estimated at 78,120 futures and 5,883 options.
Hot weather to boost crop development, but some concern about showers in Illinois and Indiana where farmers still trying to finish planting soybeans. USDA said US soy condition 67 percent good to excellent, up from 66 percent a week ago and above 57 percent a year ago. US basis bids for soybeans strengthened late Tuesday amid quiet farmer sales despite a firming basis and CBOT rally that pushed cash prices as much as 32 cents higher in some areas-dealers.
Canadian farmers planted 15.825 million acres of canola, Statscan said, down 2.1 percent from last year but above average trade estimates of 15.5 million acres. Statscan survey was done before farmers could factor in some of the impact of drought, frosts. Asian vegoil markets recover on export hopes, tight supply. Global June-August soybean exports to fall - Hamburg based oilseeds analyst Oil World. US soyoil exports increasing sharply in coming months as domestic biodiesel production stalls- Oil World.