Derivatives point to UK housing slowdown in 2010

10 Nov, 2009

UK housebuyers may still have a chance to secure a bargain home between 2010 and 2011, with annual house price growth seen at about half the 5.5 percent expected by end-2009, indicative derivatives data shows. Participants in Britain's junior property derivatives sector said the recovery of the supply starved residential market remained on solid footing, but price rises were set to slow as housebuilders upped construction in an effort to meet demand.
"Physical house prices in the UK have continued to increase despite worries that unemployment, restrictive lending and an increase in taxation would prevent recovery," Peter Sceats, a broker at Tradition Property told Reuters. "Some traders are focusing heavily on the core fundamental of supply and demand and believe the rate at which new homes are being (and have been) built is severely insufficient for the UK's future housing needs," he said.
Average UK house prices are seen rising by nearly 12 percent over the next five years, the data shows, against September projections of an 8.5 percent rise for the same period. On November 3, Halifax Building Society, one of the UK's largest mortgage providers, said house prices had risen 1.2 percent in October, squeezing the annual decline to its smallest in one-and-a-half years as higher demand and a lack of homes for sale buoyed prices.

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