Dollar rises

17 Jan, 2010

The US dollar gained against most major currencies on Friday, helped by US reports indicating a rise in manufacturing alongside stable consumer price inflation, while pressure on the euro persisted over concerns about the Greek economy. Market confidence in Greece has fallen as its deficit has ballooned and credit ratings have been cut.
"What is really crushing the euro is additional concern about the serviceability of the massive amount of debt rung up in Greece," said Dan Cook, a senior market analyst at IG Markets in Chicago. Until the issue is resolved, "we will likely see a lot of selling pressure on the euro," he said.
Euro zone finance ministers have little patience left for Greece after it repeatedly misled them about the size of its budget deficit and would be ready to impose sanctions on Athens if needed, euro zone sources said on Friday. In late afternoon trading in New York, the euro fell 0.9 percent to $1.4373 after touching a session low of $1.4338, according to Reuters data.
Analysts said Friday's string of US data releases were mostly in line with expectations, showing some improvement in a regional manufacturing indicator and tame consumer prices, while a measure of consumer sentiment was little changed. Still, the data may help pave the way for further gains in the dollar, they said.
"It's not a surprise to see better-than-expected manufacturing data. A point of this recovery, outside of fiscal stimulus, is that the US manufacturing sector is already on the rebound," said Michael Woolfolk, a senior currency strategist at BNY Mellon in New York. He said euro/dollar may trade as low as $1.4280 in the coming days.
Matthew Strauss, a senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto, said sentiment on euro/dollar is bearish and a recent break below $1.4450 was "quite important." "We will probably continue to see euro/dollar slowly drifting lower," he said.
The euro also fell versus sterling to hit a four-month low of 88.11 pence before recovering some losses to trade down 0.4 percent at 88.39 pence. Against the Japanese currency, the euro was 1.3 percent lower at 130.51 yen. The euro zone single currency had fallen sharply in Asia on rumours, later denied that German Chancellor Angela Merkel would resign. These followed the publication of a Time magazine report about her domestic political problems.
The dollar fell to 90.61 yen earlier, its lowest since December 21, according to Reuters data, as the yen gained broadly on the back of a slide in higher-yielding currencies, which suffered from investors cutting back risky positions. The dollar was last 0.4 percent lower at 90.79 yen. The Australian and the New Zealand dollars fell against the their US counterpart. US financial markets will be closed on Monday for the Martin Luther King Day holiday.

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