US consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in seven months in September, underscoring lingering worries about the strength of the economic recovery. But in a sign of stabilisation in the housing market, US home prices hovered above multi-year lows without the homebuyer tax credit that ended in April.
Tuesday's data is the latest to give a mixed signal on the economy, with a 9.6 percent unemployment rate and still-tight access to credit among factors hurting consumers and keeping concerns about a double-dip recession alive. "With unemployment at a 26 year high, confidence among consumers remains weak. This decline in sentiment will give the Fed a stronger reason to increase stimulus in November," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at GFT in New York.
The Federal Reserve said last week it was prepared to put more money into the economy, if needed, to stimulate the recovery and avoid deflation. The Conference Board's index of consumer attitudes fell to 48.5 in September from a revised 53.2 in August, pressured by a weak labour market and environment for companies.
The report also showed inflation expectations eased slightly, even with the Fed's stance on the economy. The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller home price report showed US home prices dipped in July, but it followed a 0.2 percent June rise, which was revised down from a 0.3 percent increase. The S&P/Case Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas declined 0.1 percent in July from June on a seasonally adjusted basis, as expected in a Reuters poll.
Last Friday the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary September reading on US consumer sentiment was worse than expected and at the weakest level in more than a year. In another sign of concerns over the outlook for the US economy, a US Business Roundtable survey found the number of CEOs who expect their companies' sales and US headcount to rise over the six months declined in September.
The Business Roundtable's CEO Economic Outlook Index declined to 86 in September from 94.6 in June. In contrast to US sentiment indicators, overseas data Tuesday showed the consumer mood in Germany and Italy improved and French consumer spending rose during the summer.
President Barack Obama, who is travelling across the United States this week to try to drum up voter enthusiasm ahead of the November US congressional elections, signed a $30 billion small business lending bill into law on Monday. With worries about the economy in the forefront, opinion polls suggest the November 2 mid-term elections could result in the Republicans wresting control of Congress from the Democratic Party.
HOME PRICES UP VERSUS YEAR AGO: S&P, which publishes the home price indexes, also said home prices in the 20 cities index rose 3.2 percent from July 2009, a slower annual pace than the 4.2 percent increased in June. Data last week showed new home building rose in August and sales of previously owned houses crawled off a 13-year low. Analysts have been watching for signs of stability in the housing market after declines seen with the end of a tax credit for home buyers in April.