The dollar hit its highest level in nearly a month versus the euro on Monday after last week's upbeat jobs data suggested the US economy may not be in dire need of further monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve. The euro struggled after facing what traders described as a buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact fall on Greece's bond swap deal with private creditors which will clear the way for a new bailout.
The single currency slipped 0.3 percent to $1.3087, having dipped to as low as $1.3079 at one point on trading platform EBS, the euro's lowest level since February 16. Possible support for the euro lies near $1.3055, the 50 percent retracement of its January to February rally.
"There's a risk of euro/dollar sustaining a move below $1.31," said Mitul Kotecha, head of global foreign exchange strategy for Credit Agricole in Hong Kong. "There's worries about whether Portugal will follow Greece, whether Greece will need another bailout, whether the underlying issues in the country will be resolved," Kotecha said.
With the euro in retreat, the dollar hit its highest level in nearly seven weeks against a basket of major currencies. The dollar index touched a high of 80.132 at one point, its highest level since January 25. A Reuters poll conducted after the release of the employment data on Friday showed that recent signs of improvement in the US labour market were spurring economists at major Wall Street firms to rethink how aggressive the Fed needs to be in applying further monetary stimulus.
Economists at most primary dealers - the large financial institutions that do business directly with the Fed - still believe the central bank will undertake another large stimulus programme at some point in 2012. However, they now expect the scale of this intended economic support to be smaller than they thought a month ago.
The dollar dipped 0.2 percent against the yen to 82.32 yen, coming under pressure due to profit-taking and dollar-selling by Japanese exporters, traders said. The greenback had climbed to 82.65 yen on Friday on trading platform EBS, its highest level since late April 2011, as US Treasury yields rose on the back of the upbeat jobs data, making the dollar more attractive against the low-yielding Japanese currency. A focal point for dollar/yen this week will be policy decisions by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve, both of which are due on Tuesday.