LONDON: The dollar slipped, hovering near two-week lows on Wednesday, after US bond yields stabilised, while market participants waited for the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes later in the session to help determine the dollar’s future path.
The previous quarter saw a spike in US Treasury yields and the dollar’s strongest rally in years, on rising expectations that accelerating US economic growth and inflation could force the Fed to abandon its pledge to keep interest rates near zero until 2024.
The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday that unprecedented public spending to fight the pandemic would push global growth to 6% this year.
But the bond market has stabilised this week, with the 10-year US Treasury yield at 1.6579%, down from its peak of 1.776% at the end of March.
“We have seen USD supported by rising bond yields most of Q1.... now that Q2 has begun, yields are coming off slightly which has softened the dollar in the last couple of days,” said Joe Tuckey, FX analyst at Argentex.
At 1100 GMT, the dollar was down 0.1% on the day at 92.21 against a basket of currencies, close to a two-week low, having fallen from a high of 93.439 that it hit on March 30.
“I suspect that we are dealing with broad-based profit taking on market USD longs,” said Valentin Marinov, head of G10 FX research at Credit Agricole.
US money markets are pricing in a 25 basis point hike in December 2022.
Euro-dollar was up 0.1% at $1.18905. So far in 2021, the euro has fallen, with the euro-dollar pair driven by prospects of the economic recovery from COVID-19 in Europe lagging that of the United States and Britain.
Europe’s benchmark equity index, the STOXX 600, closed at a record high on Tuesday, recovering all of its pandemic-driven losses.
Euro zone business activity bounced back to growth last month, underpinned by a record expansion in manufacturing, PMI data showed.
The Australian dollar fell against the dollar, down 0.5% at 0.7627, while the New Zealand dollar was down 0.3% , both pausing their upward trajectory of the last two weeks.