SINGAPORE: The CBOT soybean May contract could bounce into a range of $15.54-1/4 to $15.75 per bushel, as it has stabilized around a support at $15.20-1/2.

The deep fall from the Tuesday high of $16.08-3/4 has marked the completion of a wave 3. This fall has defined the range of the current wave 4, which is likely to develop in a zone of $15.20-1/2 to $16.08-3/4.

This wave could consist of three smaller waves. Only the wave a is over.

It is not clear how long the wave b would be. It could travel to any level below $16.08-3/4.

A break below $15.20-1/2 could cause a fall limited to $14.93-1/4.

On the daily chart, the first black candlestick appeared on Tuesday after 10 consecutive white candlesticks from the April 13 low of $13.78.

As far as the trend from this low is concerned, it has finished. The contract has moved into a consolidation phase.

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