Gold set for weekly rise on dollar weakness

06 Mar, 2023

NEW YORK: Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Friday and were heading for their first weekly rise in five as a pullback in the US dollar and Treasury yields offered some respite from prospects of more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

Spot gold was up 0.6% at $1,846.72 per ounce by 12:45 p.m. ET (1745 GMT) after hitting its highest since Feb. 15 earlier in the session. Prices have risen about 2% so far this week. US gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,852.60.

Until a new catalyst is found, such as next week’s jobs or consumer prices data, gold is likely to remain range-bound between the $1,830-$1,850 levels, Bart Melek, head of commodity markets strategy at TD Securities, said.

With China recovering, there may be continued robustness in gold consumption, with people also buying the metal to hedge against inflation, Melek added.

The US dollar index was headed for its first weekly loss in five, making bullion more attractive for other currency holders, while benchmark US 10-year yields crept lower from near a four-month peak.

While Fed Governor Christopher Waller said strong economic data could see rates above the 5.1%-5.4% range, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he favoured a “slow and steady” increase moving forward and a pause by mid or late summer.

Traders are now pricing in at least three more 25 basis point rate hikes this year, with rates peaking at 5.43% by September.

Despite gold being often seen as an inflation hedge, rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding zero-yielding bullion.

Should support for gold at $1,780-$1,800 break over the next few weeks, it could be due to a more hawkish shift in US monetary policy, Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA, wrote in a note. Spot silver gained nearly 1% to $21.09 per ounce and was set for its biggest weekly increase since January. Platinum jumped 1.3% to $972.64, while palladium rose 0.8% to $1,459.91.

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