Gold takes pause in light trading; eyes on Fed in data-packed week

12 Feb, 2024

Gold prices steadied in a tight range on Monday in holiday-thinned trading, as investors awaited remarks from a slew of U.S. Federal Reserve officials in a data-packed week.

Spot gold was flat at $2,022.39 per ounce, oscillating in a $5 range, as of 0340 GMT.

U.S. gold futures were also steady at $2,036.20 per ounce.

“Gold is remarkably resilient, given we’ve seen almost 60 basis points of cuts (for 2024) come out of the market since the January high,” said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com.

“Positioning is neutral, and if the data deteriorates softening the dollar and deepening U.S. rate cut bets, then gold will shine again. The big risk this week is consumer price index (CPI)-if that comes in hot, another test of $2,000/Oz level could be on the cards”

Trading is expected to be thin during Asian trading hours due to holidays in China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam and Malaysia.

COMEX gold speculators raised their net long position by 10,616 contracts to 82,591 in the week ended Feb. 6, data showed on Friday.

Palladium price drops below platinum for the first time since 2018

Market participants will focus on U.S. CPI data on Tuesday, retail sales data on Thursday and produce price index (PPI) data on Friday, while also awaiting remarks from atlas 7 Fed officials this week.

Several Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have said last week they want to see more evidence inflation will continue to decline before cutting rates.

Traders have all but ruled out a rate cut at the Fed’s next eeting in March, according to LSEG’s Interest Rate Probability app, IRPR. It shows around a 62% chance of a cut in the May meeting.

Spot platinum fell 0.2% to $870.25 per ounce, while palladium rose 0.3% to $861.48, while silver was also up 0.3% to $22.66.

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