Dalian iron ore slides on fresh China stimulus

28 Jul, 2024

SINGAPORE: Dalian iron ore futures snapped a three-session slide on Friday buoyed by fresh stimulus from top consumer China, but remained on track for a weekly loss amid concerns about demand from the ailing property sector.

The most-traded September iron ore contract on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) ended morning trade 1.95% higher at 782.5 yuan ($107.94) a metric ton.

The contract was down 2.31% on a weekly basis. The benchmark August iron ore on the Singapore Exchange was 2.29% higher at $102.20 a ton, as of 0401 GMT, shedding 4.41% so far this week. China’s industrial metals complex is “pumped” by an allocation of 300 billion yuan ($41.40 billion) in bond funds for economic recovery, which includes subsidies for replacing and upgrading steel-intensive consumer and industrial goods, said Cameron Law, a commodities analyst at Navigate Commodities.

While the stimulus package is bullish for manufacturing activity, its overall size will not be sufficient to mitigate the construction sector’s “ongoing capitulation” or address the Chinese consumer’s attitude towards property, said Law.

Reports of rising steel inventories from China highlight ongoing weakness in the steel market amid a slump in construction activity in the property sector, ANZ analysts said in a note.

Stocks of finished steel products at traders’ warehouses in 132 Chinese cities declined 0.8% week-on-week during July 19-25 to reach a one-month low of 21 million tons, but were up 11.9% year-on-year, data from consultancy Mysteel showed.

The market is now looking ahead to the Politburo meeting next week for new measures that may support economic growth, added the ANZ analysts.

Other steelmaking ingredients on the DCE rose, with coking coal and coke up 0.41% and 0.67%, respectively. Steel benchmarks on the Shanghai Futures Exchange recorded gains. Rebar added nearly 1%, hot-rolled coil advanced about 0.9%, wire rod rose 0.5%, and stainless steel ticked up almost 0.2%.

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