Most stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Monday amid expectations of a U.S. rate cut in September, although heightened geopolitical tensions in the region limited gains.

The U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee meets on July 30-31 and is expected to keep rates unchanged. However, recent softer data and comments from Fed officials have prompted the rate futures market to fully price in a 25 basis-point cut in September.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is usually guided by the Fed’s decisions as most regional currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Dubai’s main share index gained 0.7%, led by a 2.6% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties and a 1.6% increase in top lender Emirates NBD.

In Abu Dhabi, the index finished 0.8% higher, with the country’s biggest lender First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) advancing 6.3%.

Last week, FAB reported a second-quarter profit that beat estimates, helped by growth in both interest and non-interest income.

Most Gulf markets gain on Fed rate cut optimism

The Qatari benchmark added 0.3%, with Qatar Islamic Bank rising 0.9%.

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index dropped 0.4%, hit by a 0.7% fall in aluminium product manufacturer Al Taiseer Group.

Investors also tracked the escalation in Middle East tensions.

Israel’s security cabinet authorised Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to decide on the “manner and timing” of a response to a rocket strike in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights that killed 12 teenagers and children, which Israel and the United States blamed on Hezbollah. The Lebanese armed group has denied any role.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt’s blue-chip index declined0.6%, weighed down by a 2.6% drop in Talaat Mostafa Group.

Egypt raised the prices of a wide range of fuel products on Thursday, the official gazette said, four days before the International Monetary Fund (IMF) conducts a third review of its expanded $8 billion loan programme for the country.

---------------------------------------- SAUDI ARABIA     fell 0.4% to 12,121 ABU DHABI        up 0.8% to 9,395 DUBAI            rose 0.7% to 4,308 QATAR            gained 0.3% to 10,170 EGYPT            lost 0.6% to 28,851 BAHRAIN          was up 0.1% to 1,972 OMAN             rose 0.5% to 4,652 KUWAIT           added 0.2% to 7,847----------------------------------------