Copper falls on soft Chinese factory data

02 Aug, 2024

LONDON: Copper prices retreated on Thursday on worse-than-expected factory data in top metals consumer China and rising inventories that highlighted excess supply.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) slipped 1.1% to $9,126 per metric ton in official open-outcry trading, after rising 2.8% in the previous session.

Those gains were largely due to investors locking in profits from short positions to take advantage of recent weakness, traders said. LME copper has given up 18% since touching a record peak of $11,104.50 in May, weighed down by worries about weak demand in China. The concerns were deepened after surveys over the past two days showed a sluggish manufacturing sector, with activity in July shrinking for the first time in nine months as factory owners struggled with poor demand.

Investors have been disappointed that China has not announced major stimulus measures to boost the economy. “It’s a guessing game on China. The data is indicating that they need to make a bolder move, make an announcement fairly soon,” Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree.

“They had the politburo meeting, which could have been a great opportunity to articulate something meaningful and bold, but they didn’t really do that.”

High inventories in exchange-approved warehouses are also dampening the market, with LME copper stocks having more than doubled since the start of June and touching the highest in nearly three years. A firmer dollar index also weighed on metals prices, making commodities priced in the US currency more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Nickel was the biggest decliner on the LME after a jump in LME inventories to the highest since December 2021. The price eased 2.4% in official activity to $16,200 a ton.

In other metals, LME aluminium dipped 0.2% to $2,286 a ton, zinc slipped 0.3% to $2,684, lead lost 0.3% to $2,077 and tin fell 0.7% to $29,850.

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