Copper, aluminium extend losses on rising inventories

30 Aug, 2024

LONDON: Copper and aluminium prices extended losses on Thursday, pressured by rising inventories, lacklustre demand in China and a strong dollar.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.2% at $9,246 a metric ton by 1425 GMT after sliding by 2% in the previous session.

Copper inventories in LME-registered warehouses jumped by 8,700 tons to 322,950 tons, LME data showed on Thursday, the highest for about five years and double levels in mid-June.

Most of the recent inflows have been into Asian LME warehouses amid heavy exports from China, analysts say. “We could see some more deliveries into LME stocks, even into September,” said Amelia Xiao Fu, head of commodity market strategy at Bank of China International.

An arbitrage window that encouraged Chinese exports has closed, but the flows were continuing due to delays in permitting and other shipping issues, she added.

LME copper had rebounded by about 9% since touching a 4-1/2 month low on Aug. 5. It reached $9,453 on Tuesday before retreating on Wednesday.

“The upside is limited until we see a more meaningful pick-up in Chinese demand. The data in the property market still remains sluggish and other types of fixed-asset investment have seen only a moderate pick-up,” Fu added.

Miner BHP downgraded its forecast for China’s copper growth to 1-2% this year, it said on Tuesday, pointing to an expected sharp contraction in housing completions this year. LME aluminium dropped 1.2% to $2,465 a ton, partly pressured by concern about excess supplies as inventories climb in SHFE-approved warehouses.

SHFE aluminium stocks have gained 36% over the past three months. Also pressuring the metals market was a stronger dollar after better-than-expected US GDP data, making commodities priced in the US currency more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Among other metals, LME nickel and zinc were flat, lead fell 1.6% to $2,051.50 and tin was down 0.7% at $32,385.

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