Gold prices set for biggest monthly decline in over one year

01 Dec, 2024

NEW YORK: Gold prices gained on Friday, supported by a weaker greenback and geopolitical woes, but were on course for their worst monthly performance since September 2023 due to a dollar rally this month following Donald Trump’s US election victory. Spot gold climbed 0.7% to $2,659.49 per ounce, as of 1201 GMT, but set for a weekly fall of about 2% after a sharp sell-off earlier this week. US gold futures also gained 0.8% to $2,659.20.

Bullion has declined 3% so far in November, its worst monthly performance since September 2023, as traders expect the prospect of higher tariffs under Trump administration to keep interest rates higher for longer. The dollar index fell to its lowest point since Nov. 12, but remains on track for a 2% rise in November. Gold has seen a significant rise this year, and we are witnessing a sharp decline this month due to substantial profit-booking after Trump’s victory and the rally in US dollar following the election results, said Jigar Trivedi, a senior analyst at Reliance Securities.

Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset during times of economic or political uncertainty, including trade wars, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. “The Middle East concerns have been slightly off due to the ceasefire talk, but on the contrary Russia-Ukraine concerns are still prevailing in the market,” said Ajay Kedia, director at Kedia Commodities, Mumbai. Israel’s military said on Thursday that an arrival of suspects was detected in several areas in southern Lebanon, and called it a violation of a ceasefire with Hezbollah.

Additionally, Russia unleashed its second big attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure this month on Thursday. Investors await major US economic data releases next week, including job reports, for clues on the Federal Reserve’s future rate cut outlook. Spot silver added 1.5% to $30.70 per ounce, platinum gained 1.2% to $942.25 and palladium advanced 1.2% to $987.37, though all were set for monthly losses.

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