Robust earnings keep European shares near five-year highs

31 Oct, 2013

Pan-European equities hovered near 5-year highs on Wednesday, supported by robust trading updates from carmaker Volkswagen and Norwegian conglomerate Orkla, among others. The FTSEurofirst 300 index was flat at 1,288.22 points in late session trade, having earlier hit a fresh 5-year high of 1,296.37 points, and with the index up by some 3 percent since the start of October.
The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index slipped 0.2 percent to 3,043.33 points while Germany's DAX fell 0.1 percent to 9,015.80 points, having earlier hit a fresh record high of 9,070.17 points. Some traders said that on a short-term view, the equity market may slip back by around 1 percent by the end of this week as traders in on October's rally.
But others focused on a longer-term bullish view on equity markets, forecasting a rally into the end of 2013. Volkswagen and Orkla were among the top risers on the FTSEurofirst 300 index after reporting figures that were either in line with or better than market expectations. Volkswagen rose 5.8 percent after unveiling record sales at premium brands Audi and Porsche that confounded many investors who had bet on a weak quarterly report.
Rupert Baker, a European equity sales executive at Mirabaud Securities, said European companies were having to cope with the impact of a fall in the US dollar against the euro, which could hit exports, but added that generally speaking their underlying third quarter results looked solid. According to Thomson Reuters StarMine data, 53 percent of companies on the pan-European STOXX 600 index have posted third-quarter results that have either met or beaten market forecasts. "There is a currency headwind but the underlying earnings look robust enough," Baker said.
Traders added that equities were also being supported by expectations that the US Federal Reserve will maintain its massive bond-buying programme when it concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday. Yet with markets such as the DAX at record highs, some said now was a good time to trim back equity positions to cash in. The FTSEurofirst 300 is up 14 percent since the start of 2013 while the DAX has risen 19 percent.
Darren Courtney-Cook, head of trading at Central Markets Investment Management, said there could be a 1 percent pullback on the DAX before the end of the week as traders look to cash in on some equity holdings before the end of October. "The month-end is coming. That could be the catalyst for a bit of profit-taking," said Courtney-Cook, who sold out of the DAX futures contract at 9,063 points on Wednesday.

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