Goldman Sachs expects euro to drop below parity by end 2017

12 Jan, 2015

Goldman Sachs has cut its forecasts for the euro this year and expects the single currency to drop below parity by end-2017 as part of a broad downward trend begun in the second half of last year. In a research report released on Friday, it lowered the forecast the euro/dollar to $1.14 in three months time, down from the previous forecast of $1.23. It also expects the euro to drop to $1.11 in six months, compared with the previous forecast of $1.20 and to $1.08 in 12 months, down from $1.15 earlier.
"We are also revising down our longer-term forecasts, bringing the end-2016 forecast to $1.00 (from $1.05) and that for end-2017 to $0.90 (from $1.00)," the US investment bank said in a research report.
"These changes underscore our view that the recent slide in the single currency is part of a broad trend, which will see the euro undershoot 'fair value' (around 1.20) on the weak side."
The euro fell to a 9-year low against the dollar this week on growing expectations that the European Central Bank will announce outright government bond buying within weeks to ward off a prolonged cycle of falling prices and wages. The Bank's governing council meets on January 22.

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