Gold gains in Europe

18 Nov, 2016

Gold gained on Thursday, shrugging off strong US economic data and comments by US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that further bolstered the case for hiking rates next month. Markets had already come to terms with a US rate rise, so they calmed down after an initial flurry following the release of the data. "The market appears to now have almost fully priced in the fact that the Fed is going to put up rates 25 basis points next month and the initial shock of the US presidential election has washed through," said analyst Tom Kendall at ICBC Standard Bank in London.
"I think the overreaction in fixed-income markets is coming to an end, and that means that the sell-off and overreaction in gold is also coming to an end." Spot gold has shed about 4 percent since the US election on November 8 and slid 11 percent since touching a two-year peak of about $1,375 in early July. Spot gold had added 0.3 percent at $1,228.06 an ounce by 1515 GMT, while US gold futures rose 0.3 percent to $1,228.
After initially turning higher, the dollar index settled slightly weaker despite the biggest increase in US consumer prices in six months and jobless claims falling to a 43-year low. Weighing on gold recently have been expectations the US Federal Reserve will hike rates next month. Gold is highly sensitive to interest rates. Yellen said in prepared remarks to lawmakers that the Fed could raise US interest rates "relatively soon" if economic data keeps pointing to an improving labour market and rising inflation.
Helping to support gold was a pick-up in demand in India after the withdrawal of high-denomination banknotes.
Among other precious metals, palladium rose 1 percent to $722.20 after touching a six-week high of $723.60, while platinum slipped 0.5 percent to $939.50. Palladium has sharply outperformed sister metal platinum recently, with the spread between the two sliding to about $215 from $377 over the past two weeks. Kendall said weak fundamentals for platinum supported the move, highlighted in a report this week from refiner Johnson Matthey that said the platinum market could return to surplus for the first time in six years in 2017.
"Maybe things need to pause for a while, but certainly it's very hard to make a case why anyone should be preferring to invest in platinum versus palladium if they've got an investment horizon of less than a year or so," he added. Silver was flat at $16.97 an ounce.

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