The Meteorological department has issued following weather/monsoon outlook for the month of September 2017. ENSO and IOD neutral are prevailing in the eastern equatorial Pacific and Indian Ocean, respectively. Neutral phase of IOD phenomenon is expected to prevail in the monsoon season, however, ENSO is expected to remain in negative phase during coming autumn/early winter season.
Outlook for the month of September, 2017 has been prepared based upon regional and global weather conditions incorporating the climate system dynamics. Monsoon is expected to remain in weaker phase during the month in South Asia including Pakistan. Following are the main features of weather in September, 2017:
1. Near normal rainfall is expected in the country during the month.
2. Three to four spells of rainfall embedded with isolated extreme events are expected in upper Punjab, KP, AJK and GB. While one to two spells of light to moderate intensity are predicted in Sindh and Balochistan provinces. These extreme events may generate floods.