Oil near flat; prices swing as demand worry vies with OPEC supply cuts

03 Jan, 2019

Brent crude futures rose 24 cents to $55.15 a barrel by 11:24 a.m. EST (1624 GMT). US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 6 cents to $46.48 a barrel.

Prices traded in a wide range, with Brent hitting a session high of $56.30 a barrel and a low of $53.93 a barrel. WTI posted a session high of $47.49 a barrel and a low of $45.35 a barrel.

Crude futures mirrored volatility in other markets after tech giant Apple cut its sales forecast, citing a slowdown in China. The news rattled US equity markets and weighed on oil prices, which have recently moved in tandem with Wall Street.

Weaker-than-expected US factory data added to worries about a slowing global economy.

"Oil is flip-flopping on concerns of supply and demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago. "It's really a battle between the supply situation, which looks to be tightening, versus the possibility that demand will drop off."

Supporting futures were signs of reduced supply from OPEC members. OPEC oil supply fell in December by the largest amount in almost two years, a Reuters survey found, as top exporter Saudi Arabia made an early start to a supply-limiting accord while Iran and Libya posted involuntary declines.

"The feeling is that OPEC is delivering on cuts," SEB head of commodities Bjarne Schieldrop said.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries led by Saudi Arabia, alongside allied producers led by Russia, agreed last year to rein in supplies starting from January after oil prices tumbled from above $86 on worries about surging output.

Investors have been concerned about rising supply from top producers, including the United States and Russia.

Riyadh was expected to cut February prices for heavier crude grades sold to Asia due to weaker fuel oil margins while reducing prices for light grades to keep Saudi oil competitive against rising US shale oil supplies, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday.

Supply from Iraq, the second biggest producer in OPEC, has also climbed, with December exports at 3.73 million bpd versus 3.37 million bpd in November.

Copyright Reuters, 2019
 

 

 

 

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