US MIDDAY: wheat up

11 Sep, 2018

US wheat futures rose more than 2 percent on Monday on a mix of technical buying after last week's seven-week low and fundamental support from tightening supplies in Australia and Russia, analysts said. Soyabean futures also advanced while corn futures were little changed ahead of key crop reports due Wednesday from the US Department of Agriculture.
As of 1:04 p.m. CDT (1804 GMT), Chicago Board of Trade December wheat futures were up 12 cents at $5.23-1/4 per bushel. November soyabeans were up 2-1/2 cents at $8.46-1/2 a bushel and December corn was steady at $3.67 a bushel.
CBOT wheat bounced after a four-session slide last week pressed the December contract to $5.07-1/2, its lowest since July 19.
Additional strength stemmed from news that the Australian Bureau of Agriculture, Resource Economics and Rural Sciences (ABARES) lowered its forecast of the country's 2018/19 wheat crop to 19.1 million tonnes, from 21.9 million in June. The figure is below the USDA's latest Australian wheat forecast of 19.5 million tonnes.
Meanwhile, dry conditions persisted in Russia's southwestern Volga Valley, potentially stressing winter wheat germination, Radiant Solutions said in a daily note. News of a barley purchase by Saudi Arabia, which booked 1.5 million tonnes in a tender, may also suggest that the importer expects rising prices and tightening grain supplies, traders said. However, US wheat exports have been moderate.
Soyabeans firmed despite softening cash values at the US Gulf and expectations that the USDA will raise its estimate of the US crop in a monthly report due Wednesday. China imported 9.15 million tonnes of soyabeans in August, up 14 percent from July, customs data showed on Saturday. CBOT corn futures were little changed and the December contract stayed inside of Friday's trading range as the market awaited updated yield and production estimates from USDA on Wednesday.

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