C$ hits two-month low as yield spreads widen on dovish BoC

06 Mar, 2019

The gap between Canada's 2-year yield and its US equivalent began to move wider on Friday after data showing that Canada's economy barely expanded in the fourth quarter.

On Wednesday, the spread widened by 3.6 basis points to about 85 basis points in favor of the US bond, its widest since February 2007.

"Today, more dovish-than-expected commentary has been triggering the market again ... the FX side has caught up with that rate spread," said Amo Sahota, director at Klarity FX in San Francisco.

Faced with a slowing global and domestic economy, the Bank of Canada held interest rates steady as expected and said there was "increased uncertainty" about the timing of future rate increases.

At 1:10 p.m. (1810 GMT), the Canadian dollar

was trading 0.6 percent lower at 1.3436 to the greenback, or 74.43 US cents. The currency touched its weakest level since Jan. 4 at 1.3457.

The decline for the loonie came as data showed that Canada racked up a record trade deficit in December and that the pace of purchasing activity slowed in February to its weakest in five months.

Also, US crude oil futures were down nearly 1 percent at $56.02 a barrel after US government data showed a sharp build in crude inventories. Oil is one of Canada's major exports.

Meanwhile, a former key aide to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who is at the center of a major political crisis, on Wednesday denied he had pressured the then-justice minister to allow a major company to avoid a corruption trial last year.

"It is another election year and politics will be important. ... I think it has the potential to weigh on sentiment a little bit for international traders," Sahota said.

Canadian government bond prices were higher across the yield curve, with the 10-year rising 67.4 Canadian cents to yield 1.80 percent. The 10-year yield touched its lowest intraday since June 2017 at 1.790 percent.

Canada's employment report for February is due on Friday.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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