Turkey's lira firms as banks sell forex, S-400 talks continue

14 May, 2019

ISTANBUL: Turkey's lira firmed slightly on Tuesday as investors weighed up reports that Ankara was evaluating Washington's proposal to delay delivery of Russian defence systems and state banks continued to sell dollars to support the currency.

The currency has been battered this year on worries that Ankara's push to purchase Russian S-400 missile defence systems could lead to sanctions from Washington.

But a source said on Monday the United States had asked Turkey to delay the delivery, scheduled for July, which could lead to an improvement in relations between the NATO allies. However, a senior Turkish official said Ankara's position had not changed.

The lira stood at 6.0270 against the dollar at 1330 GMT, nearly 0.5% stronger than Monday's close of 6.0550.

More clarity on a deal between Ankara and Washington is needed for the lira to rally, said Jason Tuvey, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.

"Developments in the global economy are dominating swings in the lira and this was set off yesterday in line with other emerging markets currencies," he said.

Separately, industrial production fell a less-than-expected 2.2% annually in March, logging its seventh consecutive month of declines after the economy tipped into recession last year. Month-on-month, it was up 2.1% on a calendar and seasonally adjusted basis, data showed.

The Treasury tapped its two-year benchmark bond at a yield of 25.31, marking a rise of nearly six percentage points since a similar issue in March.

STATE BANKS

The lira is currently down nearly 13 percent against the dollar this year, with the most recent selloff sparked by the decision to re-run mayoral elections in Istanbul.

After slipping as far as 6.2460, its weakest in more than seven months, following last week's ruling by the electoral board, the lira recovered ground as state banks sold billions of dollars to support the currency.

Turkish state banks continuously supplied foreign currency to the market on Monday and Tuesday, traders said.

Total foreign currency sales to the market on Monday amounted to $1 billion, sources told Reuters.

The government is putting pressure on all aspects of the state to try to support the lira before the Istanbul poll is re-run on June 23, Tuvey said.

"It is only so far that the banks can do this given they've already drawn down their foreign currency assets quite a lot over the past year," he said.

Last week, banks sold a total of $4.5 billion as the central bank suspended repo auctions and took additional liquidity steps.

The main share index was up 1.32%, while the banking index rose 3.21%.

Turkey's dollar-denominated sovereign bonds rose, supported by the strengthening lira. The government's 2030 bond climbed as much as 1.3 cents in the dollar while most other bonds rose between 0.2 and 0.9 cents, Tradeweb data showed.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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