C$ pulls back from 8-month high as investors reweigh Fed outlook

05 Jul, 2019

The US dollar

gained against a basket of currencies after an unexpectedly strong US payrolls report that caused investors to rethink how dovish a turn the Federal Reserve may take.

"It's a 'big dollar' story," said Greg Anderson, global head of foreign exchange strategy at BMO Capital Markets in New York. "The dollar has gained against everything, and the least against CAD."

Other than the US dollar, the loonie was the best performing G10 currency.

Canada's economy shed a net 2,200 jobs in June after two months of gains, but wages jumped by the most in more than a year - a sign of strength analysts said ruled out the chances of the Bank of Canada cutting interest rates next week.

"The headline number was a little weak but all the details were good," Anderson said.

Chances that the central bank would cut rates this year slipped to about 15pc from 25pc before the jobs report, the overnight index swaps market indicated.

In separate domestic data, the seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers Index fell to its lowest since February at 52.4 from 55.9 in May.

At 3:15 p.m. (1915 GMT), the Canadian dollar was trading 0.2pc lower at 1.3081 to the greenback, or 76.45 US cents.

The currency, which on Thursday notched an eight-month high at 1.3038, traded in a range of 1.3045 to 1.3136.

For the week, the loonie was nearly unchanged.

The Canadian dollar will edge higher against the greenback over the coming year, as a recovering domestic economy forestalls Bank of Canada interest rate cuts despite expected easing from the US Federal Reserve, a Reuters poll predicted.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, was supported on Friday by tensions over Iran and a decision by OPEC and its allies to extend an output supply cut deal until next year. US crude oil futures settled 0.3pc higher at $57.51 a barrel.

Canadian government bond prices were sharply lower across the yield curve in sympathy with US Treasuries.

The 10-year yield touched its highest intraday since May 30 at 1.582pc.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

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