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BR Research » Banking

The brave new banking world
Banking

The brave new banking world

‘Banks want to play tech companies,’ read a headline in this newspaper earlier this month. Given a private sector ch
Updated 20 Nov, 2019 06:21am
NBP 9MCY19: Sound and strong
Banking

NBP 9MCY19: Sound and strong

National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) has continued its strong performance, as reflected by strong profit numbers for 9MCY19.
Updated 31 Oct, 2019 08:11am
Bank Alfalah: upbeat profits
Banking

Bank Alfalah: upbeat profits

Bank Alfalah Limited (BAFL) posted double digit year-on-year growth in pretax profits for 9MCY19, despite the challengin
Updated 28 Oct, 2019 06:47am
Bank Al Habib profits grow
Banking

Bank Al Habib profits grow

Bank Al Habib Limited (BAHL) is doing pretty well. It posted a sizable 30 percent year-on-year increase in pre-tax profi
Updated 25 Oct, 2019 06:02am
ABL goes smooth
Banking

ABL goes smooth

Allied Bank Limited (ABL) announced its 9MCY19 financial results last week, accompanied with an interim dividend of Rs2
Updated 21 Oct, 2019 06:25am
All is well at MCB
Banking

All is well at MCB

The challenging economic conditions seem to have done no harm to MCB Bank’s profits. The bank also continued with the ri
Updated 18 Oct, 2019 06:02am
Profits grow at UBL
Banking

Profits grow at UBL

UBL announced its 9MCY19 financial results yesterday, making good strides, accompanied with an interim dividend of Rs3/s
Updated 17 Oct, 2019 07:25am
HBL: pretax profits up
Banking

HBL: pretax profits up

Having had a slightly challenging 2QCY19, in terms of profitability, the country’s largest commercial bank, HBL stag
Updated 16 Oct, 2019 06:40am
NBP – impressive again
Banking

NBP – impressive again

National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) keeps churning profits, and 1HCY19 was no different. Save from a higher effective tax ra
Updated 02 Sep, 2019 05:17am
JSBL 1HCY19
Banking

JSBL 1HCY19

JS Bank Limited has had it tough in 2019 so far. That should not come as a surprise as most sectors have had it tough th
Updated 28 Aug, 2019 06:50am
Changing sentiments?
Banking

Changing sentiments?

Last week the news flow was positive; and the stock market reacted to it with 9 percent recovery. A fresh wave of positi
Published 26 Aug, 2019 06:46am
BOP: double digit growth
Banking

BOP: double digit growth

The Bank of Punjab (BOP) rode on the exemplary top line growth, which trickled down to the bottom line, posting a double
Published 26 Aug, 2019 06:05am
FDI: finding neverland
Banking

FDI: finding neverland

FDI data is here; FDI isn’t - unless one really counts those peanut-sized net inflows of $73.4 million in July 2019.
Updated 29 Aug, 2019 05:10am
Askari Bank marches on
Banking

Askari Bank marches on

The blueprint for banks this season – big, mid-sized and small, has been by and large the same. Bank on higher interest
Published 23 Aug, 2019 05:57am
The yield curve inversion
Banking

The yield curve inversion

The market participated with full heart in the recent PIB auction, indicating that the pulse in rates is peaked. Market
Published 23 Aug, 2019 05:44am
Current account in control
Banking

Current account in control

The current account deficit is down to $579 million in July19; almost one fourth of what was in the July18 – just before
Published 22 Aug, 2019 06:50am
Bank Al Habib sails smooth
Banking

Bank Al Habib sails smooth

Bank Al Habib Limited (BAHL) posted a strong 1HCY19 financial performance, registering 21 percent year-on-year increase
Published 22 Aug, 2019 06:47am
ABL 1HCY19: well poised
Banking

ABL 1HCY19: well poised

Allied Bank Limited (ABL) posted its financial results for 1hCY19, accompanied with an interim dividend of Rs2 per share
Published 21 Aug, 2019 05:41am
BAFL takes steady strides
Banking

BAFL takes steady strides

Having faced a slightly underpay 1QCY19. Bank Alfalah (BAFL) made a strong comeback in the second quarter, posting 14 pe
Published 20 Aug, 2019 05:26am
Sustaining remittances
Banking

Sustaining remittances

A good start to FY20, worker remittances for July 2019 as per SBP’s recently released data has risen by 8 percent on a y
Published 19 Aug, 2019 06:08am
MCB shines in tough times
Banking

MCB shines in tough times

MCB Bank announced its 1HCY19 financial results yesterday, continuing the rich tradition of hefty dividends. There was a
Published 08 Aug, 2019 08:00am
Missing sovereign guarantees
Banking

Missing sovereign guarantees

The fate of Rs200 billion power sector Sukuk – to park circular debt in another company, and Rs20 billion market support
Published 08 Aug, 2019 07:39am
Policy rate: Is this the peak?
Banking

Policy rate: Is this the peak?

Having complied with the IMF raising the interest rates by 150 bps in May 2019 as part of prior action, the Central bank
Published 17 Jul, 2019 07:20am
SBP doesn’t hold back
Banking

SBP doesn’t hold back

It looks like the monetary authority will not pull any punches. Reading between the lines, the State Bank of Pakistan’s
Published 17 Jul, 2019 07:16am
Hold onto remittances
Banking

Hold onto remittances

With hopes of economic revival still distant as exports continue to paint a dreary picture, banking on remittances to pr
Published 12 Jul, 2019 06:17am
Can DFS get merchants on board?
Banking

Can DFS get merchants on board?

Bringing retailers on board is a huge challenge for Pakistan’s digital financial services (DFS) ecosystem. Next door, In
Published 11 Jul, 2019 06:35am
Bringing currency back
Banking

Bringing currency back

There is no stoppage to fiscal deficit growth. FBR collection by June end is likely to be less than last year. The next
Updated 24 Jun, 2019 07:03am
CAD: slippery again
Banking

CAD: slippery again

The current account deficit (CAD) is starting to drift again. In April and May 2019, CAD’s monthly average crossed the b
Published 21 Jun, 2019 05:39am
Decision times: bold and cold
Banking

Decision times: bold and cold

The strategy is to accumulate foreign currency from the local market at lucrative rates. The interest rates are rising,
Updated 20 Jun, 2019 08:13am
Betting on remittances
Banking

Betting on remittances

That Pakistan received a significantly higher amount of remittances from overseas Pakistani’s is a much needed breather
Published 19 Jun, 2019 06:15am
Wait-and-see!
Banking

Wait-and-see!

If yesterday’s press conference of SBP governor Dr Reza Baqir is any indication, all eyes are on controlling inflation t
Published 18 Jun, 2019 06:22am
No more tightening
Banking

No more tightening

The SBP Governor in a public gathering spoke about the interest rate determination. He was spot on to say that the objec
Published 17 Jun, 2019 06:46am
No credit to credit expansion
Banking

No credit to credit expansion

The decline in the economy is manifesting in the lending patterns to private sector businesses and consumers which is ar
Published 11 Jun, 2019 05:31am
Fiscal debt trap brewing
Banking

Fiscal debt trap brewing

Is the government of Pakistan getting into a debt trap? Probably yes. Back in 2014, this space cautioned about the loomi
Published 29 May, 2019 04:58am
God’s gift to treasury
Banking

God’s gift to treasury

The economy is nose diving and it is time for banks to make merry in the PIBs bonanza. The IMF conditionality is creatin
Published 28 May, 2019 06:33am
Alarming fiscal deficit
Banking

Alarming fiscal deficit

Nothing is going right. The fiscal deficit stood at 5 percent of GDP in 9MFY19 - highest ever deficit since Pakistan sta
Published 22 May, 2019 03:54am
Rise in inactive m-wallets
Banking

Rise in inactive m-wallets

Much of the current government’s financial inclusion agenda depends on making digital transaction accounts (DTAs) grow i
Published 21 May, 2019 07:39am
MPS: A step too soon?
Banking

MPS: A step too soon?

There was a strong noise of 150 bps increase; and it happened. The rumor had it as a prior IMF condition and this perhap
Published 21 May, 2019 07:08am
Prepone the monetary policy
Banking

Prepone the monetary policy

The IMF deal is done; but uncertainty prevails. The market demands clarity on the quantum and timings of prior actions.
Published 15 May, 2019 06:32am
The deal is here
Banking

The deal is here

The IMF programme is finalized. In Naya Pakistan, it was announced in an old fashioned way by a technocrat FM in PTV 9 P
Published 14 May, 2019 05:42am
IMF: be counter-cyclical
Banking

IMF: be counter-cyclical

Since the IMF’s statement regarding a staff-level loan agreement with Pakistan was released May 12, economic observers h
Published 14 May, 2019 05:26am
Remittances remain faithful
Banking

Remittances remain faithful

With the economy sailing into choppy waters, the growth in remittances continues to provide some shock mitigation capabi
Published 13 May, 2019 05:28am
Facilitating FDI investment
Banking

Facilitating FDI investment

Pakistan’s foreign direct investment has been nothing to write home about. The 9MFY19 numbers have been dismal with FDI
Published 10 May, 2019 04:41am
Of NPLs and banking courts
Banking

Of NPLs and banking courts

Banks in Pakistan lack credit robustness and one reason, apart from banks’ own laziness and higher government financing
Updated 29 Apr, 2019 10:00am
Allied Bank: doing just fine
Banking

Allied Bank: doing just fine

Allied Bank Limited (ABL) announced its financial results for 1QCY19 accompanied with the first interim dividend of Rs2
Published 26 Apr, 2019 06:06am
HBL – pre-tax profit growth
Banking

HBL – pre-tax profit growth

Save for the retrospective imposition of Super Tax on 2017 profits, HBL delivered promising 1QCY19 results. Better still
Published 25 Apr, 2019 05:28am
Import led CAD breather
Banking

Import led CAD breather

The current account deficit at $822 million for Mar19 is little higher than market expectations, but the direction is ri
Published 23 Apr, 2019 06:04am
The FDI gloom
Banking

The FDI gloom

Remittances have been growing and supporting the current account deficit; and the government and the central bank have b
Published 23 Apr, 2019 05:46am
Wanted: telecom FDI
Banking

Wanted: telecom FDI

It’s a season of doom for Pakistan’s overall net FDI, which fell 51 percent year-on-year – or $1.35 billion – in 9MFY19.
Published 22 Apr, 2019 06:20am
PIBs – say no to high rates
Banking

PIBs – say no to high rates

The PIB auction is scheduled today. Recent behavior of auctions is erratic. With DG debt at the helm, Ministry of financ
Published 17 Apr, 2019 07:00am
T -Bills auction - bold move
Banking

T -Bills auction - bold move

The bid pattern of this week T-Bills auction brings no surprises. The market is expecting another rate hike in May 19 mo
Published 12 Apr, 2019 07:05am
Remittances - the saviour
Banking

Remittances - the saviour

The significance of remittances for Pakistan’s economy is well-documented; but the precarious nature of the country’s ec
Published 12 Apr, 2019 06:39am
Why all this tightening?
Banking

Why all this tightening?

Earlier in 2017, when economic stresses were building with excess demand reflecting in the external account, the SBP was
Published 09 Apr, 2019 05:06am
Dollar outlook
Banking

Dollar outlook

In mid-October 2018, the interbank forex market was desperate for dollars – as desperate as it was in June 2013. The des
Updated 03 Mar, 2021 10:35am
Rate hike uncalled for
Banking

Rate hike uncalled for

So, 50 bps it is. Get ready for the IMF; forget fundamentals or what is happening in the world. The IMF wants Pakistan p
Published 01 Apr, 2019 05:45am
M-wallets: just a numbers game?
Banking

M-wallets: just a numbers game?

Another quarter, another round of growth for mobile wallets. As per the central bank’s latest publication on the Branchl
Published 29 Mar, 2019 05:53am
Scary NIR - don't look at it
Banking

Scary NIR - don't look at it

The current account deficit came down to 29 months low in Feb-19, and the trajectory is changing (read " Current account
Published 21 Mar, 2019 06:30am
An unsustainable strategy?
Banking

An unsustainable strategy?

Being a donor helps when it comes to communicating on sensitive issues. The World Bank Group has done just that in Pakis
Published 21 Mar, 2019 06:18am
FDI plummets and diversifies
Banking

FDI plummets and diversifies

The government officials are busy boasting of the multi month low CAD achieved in February 2019. Good job. But they woul
Published 18 Mar, 2019 05:23am
M2 growth: amnesty calling?
Banking

M2 growth: amnesty calling?

The currency in circulation has always been high in Pakistan and it is a cause of concern for an economy where lack of d
Published 14 Mar, 2019 04:59am
Remittances on track
Banking

Remittances on track

Remittance numbers for February 2019 are out. If you are looking whether Pakistan is on track to meet the full year targ
Published 12 Mar, 2019 05:11am
Sukuks to the rescue
Banking

Sukuks to the rescue

The much-awaited Sukuk bond has been finally launched, amid much fanfare. The idea is to help reduce the infamous power
Published 07 Mar, 2019 05:35am
Readying for the IMF
Banking

Readying for the IMF

A rumor is circulating on an agreement with the IMF on a $12 billion package soon. BR Research channel checks confirm th
Published 05 Mar, 2019 06:48am
NBP – record revenue
Banking

NBP – record revenue

National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) has continued expanding its balance sheet, which stands at Rs2.8 billion, showing a near
Published 26 Feb, 2019 05:24am
UBL: profits down
Banking

UBL: profits down

UBL had a difficult CY18 in terms of printability. That is one way of looking at banks. Another way is to look at the ba
Published 25 Feb, 2019 05:56am
The fiscal headache
Banking

The fiscal headache

The one element that the federal government is unable to control in its early days is the fiscal deficit. On consolidate
Published 21 Feb, 2019 06:45am
HBL: lending and profits surge
Banking

HBL: lending and profits surge

While a few large banks are celebrating reaching the trillion rupee mark in terms of deposit – the largest of them all,
Published 21 Feb, 2019 06:43am
MCB: steady growth
Banking

MCB: steady growth

MCB Bank announced its CY18 financial results yesterday, doling out another Rs4/share in final dividends – taking the fu
Published 21 Feb, 2019 06:41am
Remittances: good news and bad
Banking

Remittances: good news and bad

Remittance inflows are growing closer to the full-year FY19 target of 15 percent. Year-on-year growth clocked-in at 6 pe
Published 13 Feb, 2019 04:06am
Make the IMF wait
Banking

Make the IMF wait

The PM’s charm could not lure the IMF head Christine Lagarde in Dubai. The negotiations are not conclusive yet. The Fund
Published 12 Feb, 2019 07:40am
A 25 bps face-saving
Banking

A 25 bps face-saving

The outgoing monetary policy committee salvaged its position by a token increase of 25 bps in the policy decision yester
Published 01 Feb, 2019 06:33am
Will the diaspora do more?
Banking

Will the diaspora do more?

Is patriotism overrated? The dam fund’s fate would suggest so – as no more than $10 million made their way five months l
Published 31 Jan, 2019 06:18am
MPS - another U-turn?
Banking

MPS - another U-turn?

The monetary policy is due tomorrow. It is hard to predict what route the committee takes, seeing the decision making pa
Updated 30 Jan, 2019 07:10am
Looming debt trap
Banking

Looming debt trap

The government is fast falling into a domestic debt trap; sooner it is fixed, the better it is. With government by far b
Published 18 Jan, 2019 05:50am
Revamping remittances
Banking

Revamping remittances

As critical as they are, the remittances have been sluggish lately. After a weak November, December 2018 figures from th
Published 14 Jan, 2019 06:18am
Bankers: friends or masters?
Banking

Bankers: friends or masters?

Last week, the publication of JIT report on fake accounts inspired an emotive debate on social media. The twitterati won
Published 08 Jan, 2019 06:58am
Life without Libor
Banking

Life without Libor

Pakistani authorities are reportedly planning to float ‘Panda’ bonds in the Chinese market. Given that the London Interb
Published 31 Dec, 2018 06:11am
FDI in dire straits
Banking

FDI in dire straits

Headlines saying “FDI draught taking hold” won’t be breaking news if foreign direct investment continues to slump. FDI i
Published 20 Dec, 2018 05:47am
Do more – talk less
Banking

Do more – talk less

Just as ‘all roads lead to Rome’, all financing needs in Pakistan lead to the IMF. It does not matter whether the govern
Published 12 Dec, 2018 06:34am
Learning by doing
Banking

Learning by doing

In the aftermath of recent (un)timely exchange rate depreciation and monetary policy tightening, a political and public
Published 10 Dec, 2018 05:45am
Promoting fintechs
Banking

Promoting fintechs

Fintech is changing how financial activities are conducted around the globe. The use of technology to bring out innovati
Published 03 Dec, 2018 06:23am
Payment security: buckle up!
Banking

Payment security: buckle up!

Better late than never! It’s been almost a month since news broke of security breach at a local bank’s digital payment s
Published 30 Nov, 2018 05:59am
The harrowing deficit tale
Banking

The harrowing deficit tale

The first quarter FY19 deficit raised to an alarming level of 1.4 percent of GDP - highest 1Q deficit since FY11, eludin
Published 26 Nov, 2018 06:05am
The FDI quagmire
Banking

The FDI quagmire

Nothing much has changed in how the foreign direct investment has been behaving. Net FDI inflows nosedived by over 46 pe
Published 16 Nov, 2018 06:43am
Remittance revival!
Banking

Remittance revival!

It’s super exciting to see 38 percent month-on-month growth in remittance flows in October 2018; it’s the highest month-
Updated 12 Nov, 2018 07:12am
Compromised?
Banking

Compromised?

News of security breach in the overseas payment systems of a local bank broke over the weekend. A notification was issue
Published 01 Nov, 2018 06:26am
MCB consolidates in 9MCY18
Banking

MCB consolidates in 9MCY18

MCB Bank announced its 9MCY18 financial results, accompanied with yet another interim cash dividend of Rs4 per share. Th
Published 26 Oct, 2018 06:18am
Current account breather
Banking

Current account breather

The current account deficit stood at $3.7 billion in 1QFY19 - lowest in five quarters. The question is whether the lower
Published 24 Oct, 2018 06:17am
Bank Al Habib lends strong
Banking

Bank Al Habib lends strong

Bank Al Habib Limited (BAHL) posted a 4 percent year-on-year drop in pre-tax profits for 9MCY18. But the real story has
Published 24 Oct, 2018 06:14am
Dollar desperation
Banking

Dollar desperation

That the US dollar is increasingly becoming a scarce commodity in Pakistan is known to all and sundry by now. The questi
Published 23 Oct, 2018 06:25am
External financing Plan B
Banking

External financing Plan B

There are no two ways on the fact that Pakistan needs additional$7-8 billion in SBP reserves within a couple of months,
Published 22 Oct, 2018 07:02am
Weak FDI; weaker outlook
Banking

Weak FDI; weaker outlook

The first quarter of FY19 has spelled bane for foreign direct investments (FDI) in the country. According to central ban
Published 19 Oct, 2018 06:24am
Remittances in Naya Pakistan
Banking

Remittances in Naya Pakistan

High hopes have been attached to the remittances under the new government with the Premier also asking the overseas Paki
Published 16 Oct, 2018 06:25am
Which IMF programme?
Banking

Which IMF programme?

The funding gap, according to SBP presentation to the PM in the presence of panel of economists, is $10-12 billion this
Updated 11 Oct, 2018 07:34am
BoT: deceptively promising
Banking

BoT: deceptively promising

Continuing last month’s trend, the 2MFY18 trade numbers posted by PBS appear to have improved. Exports are up, imports h
Published 25 Sep, 2018 06:45am
Trade deficit breather
Banking

Trade deficit breather

After an abnormally high deficit in July18, the current account slippages were a little too low in August. The CAD was
Published 24 Sep, 2018 06:12am
FDI needs a jolt
Banking

FDI needs a jolt

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) could do better in Naya Pakistan. As per the latest central bank data, net FDI came in 3
Published 17 Sep, 2018 09:30am
Dam financing
Banking

Dam financing

There has been some criticism of the dam fund set up by the honourable Supreme Court and later the prime minister’s join
Published 13 Sep, 2018 07:39am
The fiscal royal mess
Banking

The fiscal royal mess

The PMLN government left the economy on a messy note. The fiscal deficit target has been missed by whopping 2.5 percent
Published 30 Aug, 2018 07:05am
MCB in 1HCY18
Banking

MCB in 1HCY18

MCB Bank recorded a healthy top-line growth during 1HCY18, but that failed to translate into an equally healthy bottom-l
Published 28 Aug, 2018 07:09am
FDI down; non-Sino FDI worse
Banking

FDI down; non-Sino FDI worse

What a start to the fiscal year! FDI data for July 2018 shows how Murphy’s Law is played out in real life: gross FDI inf
Published 20 Aug, 2018 07:26am
Picking the right lender(s)
Banking

Picking the right lender(s)

With every passing day the ambiguity of entering into a fresh IMF programme increases. The international media coverage
Published 16 Aug, 2018 06:13am
In search of patriotic capital
Banking

In search of patriotic capital

Now that change is in the air, will the feel-good factor attract some low-cost patriotic capital? The PTI’s electoral vi
Published 13 Aug, 2018 06:36am
Allied Bank: sound and strong
Banking

Allied Bank: sound and strong

Allied Bank Limited (ABLL) ticked all the right boxes in 1HCY18. The bank’s balance continued to expand, with an asset b
Published 13 Aug, 2018 06:32am
Correcting current account
Banking

Correcting current account

The immediate need is to bring in foreign exchange in terms of cheap loans (mainly IMF) and issue Diaspora bonds to repl
Published 10 Aug, 2018 06:28am
Training SMEs to boost exports
Banking

Training SMEs to boost exports

What do Pakistan’s SMEs want? Many things! From ease of credit to ease of doing business. But there is something that SM
Updated 01 Sep, 2018 11:08am
M-wallets: growing volumes
Banking

M-wallets: growing volumes

If it is all about the numbers, well, the numbers look great. Mobile wallets, as per the latest statistics on the branch
Published 07 Aug, 2018 05:09am
UBL is no outlier
Banking

UBL is no outlier

Profits are a little harder to come by for the local banking industry these days. Much like other big banks, doom also b
Published 06 Aug, 2018 05:53am
Profits dip for MCB
Banking

Profits dip for MCB

It’s no fun being a bank right now. The consolidated bottom-line at each of the big-three private commercial banks – HBL
Published 03 Aug, 2018 06:34am
IMF: to go or not to go
Banking

IMF: to go or not to go

Lately, the debate is heating up whether Pakistan should enter into an IMF programme or not. The question is not one-sid
Published 01 Aug, 2018 06:47am
No way around IMF
Banking

No way around IMF

The Naya Pakistan has some Naya kind of currency movements. The big fluctuation in the open market without the influence
Published 31 Jul, 2018 06:47am
Lamenting SMEs
Banking

Lamenting SMEs

The importance of SMEs cannot be over-emphasized for industrial development. As per SEMDA, they constitute nearly 90 per
Updated 01 Sep, 2018 11:11am
Record high current deficit
Banking

Record high current deficit

It was a record smashing Friday. The one made in Zimbabwe must be held proudly. The other one evident from the SBP numbe
Published 23 Jul, 2018 07:06am
Wanted: FDI miracles
Banking

Wanted: FDI miracles

That Pakistan missed its FDI goals for five years in a row was flagged in last month’s FDI coverage (See ‘ Missed FDI go
Published 19 Jul, 2018 06:55am
Dealing with new IMF programme
Banking

Dealing with new IMF programme

What are some of the things that the incoming government needs to consider for the IMF programme that Pakistan is expect
Published 18 Jul, 2018 07:22am
Austerity mode is on
Banking

Austerity mode is on

The currency is down again and the policy rate is revised up. Shamshad Akhtar, the caretaker finance minister, is in ful
Published 17 Jul, 2018 06:51am
Soaring trade deficit
Banking

Soaring trade deficit

The trade deficit has moved up by 34 times from $1.1 billion in FY03 to $37.7 billion in FY18, on PBS data. This sums up
Published 13 Jul, 2018 06:11am
Remittances: cold comfort
Banking

Remittances: cold comfort

Good news: the workers’ remittances, one of Pakistan’s major non-debt-creating forex inflows, didn’t show a yearly decli
Published 12 Jul, 2018 06:52am
Down but not out
Banking

Down but not out

“I have noticed that Pakistanis are emotional. When things don’t go very well, in terms of politics or economy, they get
Updated 27 Jun, 2018 08:11am
Missed FDI goals!
Banking

Missed FDI goals!

Pakistan’s FDI numbers have not been pretty. And in latest news they are getting even worse. By April 2018, the growth i
Published 22 Jun, 2018 07:42am
Doomsday scenarios!
Banking

Doomsday scenarios!

It's a domino effect. The economy was operating on the edge anyways; and now things are slipping fast in the wrong direc
Published 22 Jun, 2018 07:36am
Wanted: dollar bonds
Banking

Wanted: dollar bonds

Less than a fortnight before its expiration, the much-talked-about tax amnesty scheme is back in the news. The caretaker
Published 21 Jun, 2018 06:52am
Rupee ride: round 3!
Banking

Rupee ride: round 3!

The pattern is now predictable; the caretakers are taking lead from where it was left by Miftah and Abassi duo. The firs
Published 12 Jun, 2018 06:33am
Who will bell the debt cat?
Banking

Who will bell the debt cat?

Pakistan economy liberalized in early 2000s when the financial sector was deregulated and trade related tariffs were rat
Published 11 Jun, 2018 05:57am
Caretaking the economy
Banking

Caretaking the economy

Islamabad these days is rife with all sorts of rumours surrounding the General Elections 2018. Those with heightened dem
Published 07 Jun, 2018 05:45am
Is China replacing the IMF?
Banking

Is China replacing the IMF?

Seeing the gross funding gap ; it is clear that Pakistan needs a bailout. Perhaps, someone is already bailing the count
Published 29 May, 2018 06:52am
Deficit overdose
Banking

Deficit overdose

The Murphy’s Law says, ‘if anything can go wont, it will’. That seems to be applying on Pakistan economy; as the numbers
Updated 21 May, 2018 07:42am
Poor FDI; poorer transparency
Banking

Poor FDI; poorer transparency

At less than one percent of the GDP, the 2.4 percent year-on-year increase in net foreign direct investments (FDI) in 10
Published 17 May, 2018 07:16am
No debt; no life!
Banking

No debt; no life!

The sharp increase in external debt is no surprise and it isn’t catching headlines as either the debt story is known to
Published 17 May, 2018 07:13am
Floating PIBs
Banking

Floating PIBs

Five years ago, government’s domestic maturity profile was too low as short-term floating debts were at Rs5.3 trillion o
Updated 12 May, 2018 08:41am
External balance snap shot
Banking

External balance snap shot

The SBP reserves are up by $593 million in the week ending April 27, 2018. Does this snapshot deserve a wow? The short a
Published 07 May, 2018 06:06am
Bank Al Habib 1QCY18
Banking

Bank Al Habib 1QCY18

Bank Al Habib Limited (BAHL) announced its 1QCY18 financial results last week, showing a 9 percent year-on-year drop in
Published 23 Apr, 2018 05:43am
FDI: change but no change
Banking

FDI: change but no change

Each passing month has been strengthening the ongoing trend of Sino-isation of Pakistan’s FDI. The latest tick – for Mar
Published 19 Apr, 2018 05:44am
Where are remittances headed?
Banking

Where are remittances headed?

State Bank of Pakistan in its recent quarterly report has projected that the country would attract a maximum of $20.5 bi
Published 12 Apr, 2018 05:51am
Forex: what might have been!
Banking

Forex: what might have been!

Pakistan’s dollar reserves have been extraordinarily strained this fiscal. At work is a ballooning current account defic
Published 05 Apr, 2018 05:38am
MPS: another raise?
Banking

MPS: another raise?

The monetary policy is due on Friday; the question is after 25 bps policy rate increase in Jan18 to 6 percent, what the
Published 29 Mar, 2018 05:11am
FDIs: diversification calling
Banking

FDIs: diversification calling

Last week, the Chairman of Pakistan’s Board of Investment, Naeem Zamindar, was reported to have said that “Pakistan want
Published 28 Mar, 2018 06:04am
Current account breather
Banking

Current account breather

The current account deficit tamed to $1.2 billion In February; down 25 percent month-on-month. The Jul-Feb number stood
Published 22 Mar, 2018 06:20am
Living on the edge
Banking

Living on the edge

The IMF report is a mixed bag - it narrates the short to medium term challenges owing to growing twin deficits while in
Published 20 Mar, 2018 06:25am
Saudi remittances blow
Banking

Saudi remittances blow

Worker remittances from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) have been on a decline. It fell eight and a half percent in th
Published 13 Mar, 2018 05:34am
Reserves and reservations
Banking

Reserves and reservations

The struggle to keep foreign reserves intact is getting difficult day by day. After a fall of $358 million in third week
Published 08 Mar, 2018 06:27am
The Chinese debt
Banking

The Chinese debt

There is no surprise in the fact that China is the biggest lender to Pakistan, including both public and private debt. T
Updated 09 Mar, 2018 08:30am
The slide in SME finance
Banking

The slide in SME finance

The efforts to boost SME finance are clearly not yielding results. Analysis of central bank data reveals that loans to S
Published 05 Mar, 2018 06:38am
Allied Bank in CY17
Banking

Allied Bank in CY17

Allied Bank Limited (ABL) saw its bottom line tank year-on-year in CY17. That was not a surprise. Recall that earning sp
Published 23 Feb, 2018 07:50am
The tale of twin deficit
Banking

The tale of twin deficit

The current account deficit stood at $1.6 billion in Jan - third highest ever in the history of the country. No wonder t
Updated 22 Feb, 2018 08:11am
UBL expands asset base
Banking

UBL expands asset base

UBL continued with its rich dividend payout, doling out another Rs4/share in final cash dividend, taking the full year C
Published 21 Feb, 2018 06:07am
M-wallets: dormant much
Banking

M-wallets: dormant much

Apparently, there is no stopping the surge of mobile accounts in Pakistan. As per the latest statistics on the branchles
Published 20 Feb, 2018 06:42am
Living off the debt
Banking

Living off the debt

The external scorecard is getting red with every passing quarter; and now the weekly numbers are becoming crucial. The r
Published 20 Feb, 2018 06:37am
Is the IMF’s knock coming?
Banking

Is the IMF’s knock coming?

The economic authorities are burning the ammunition fast to not let the reserves fall in an effort to prolong macroecono
Updated 07 Mar, 2018 07:30am
The anatomy of SME finance
Banking

The anatomy of SME finance

Is SME finance beginning to take off in Pakistan? Consider this: net outstanding credit in the country rose by Rs110 bil
Published 22 Jan, 2018 05:20am
BoP: where is the LNG?
Banking

BoP: where is the LNG?

The current account deficit stood at $7.4 billion (4.4% of GDP) in 1HFY18; up by 59 percent year-on-year. The growing CA
Updated 23 Jan, 2018 05:19am
FDI in 1HFY18
Banking

FDI in 1HFY18

Foreign direct investment for the first six months of FY18 stands at $1,381.7 million, down by around 3 percent year-on-
Published 18 Jan, 2018 09:56am
SME clinics
Banking

SME clinics

Yesterday’s piece on SME flagged the need for better understanding of demand side of SME finance – especially from motiv
Published 17 Jan, 2018 06:11am
Good signs for remittances
Banking

Good signs for remittances

The slowdown in home remittances has been flagged as a concern too many times for a country that depends on these inflow
Updated 16 Jan, 2018 07:08am
To-do list for ADB Pakistan
Banking

To-do list for ADB Pakistan

The ADB Pakistan office has lately been touring provincial capitals in the country to seek ideas on how it can support e
Published 12 Jan, 2018 06:30am
Currency turbulence in session
Banking

Currency turbulence in session

The currency movement is the talk of the town! The rupee dollar parity fluctuated recently in the open market is jolting
Published 11 Jan, 2018 07:26am
The new dollar?
Banking

The new dollar?

This year is dawned with the possibility of use of Yuan for denominating foreign currency transactions in Pakistan. The
Published 04 Jan, 2018 06:30am
Stagnating deposits growth?
Banking

Stagnating deposits growth?

The money supply growth is shrinking this fiscal year so far whilst the lion’s share of the tiny increase is taken by cu
Updated 29 Dec, 2017 11:35am
Banking sector in good health
Banking

Banking sector in good health

Banks are making lesser profits than they were last year. Yet, they are healthier than last year. The balance sheets hav
Published 15 Dec, 2017 08:25am
SME financing and absent data!
Banking

SME financing and absent data!

Dearth of reliable, readily available, and comprehensive data has been a lifelong shortcoming of government institutions
Published 08 Dec, 2017 07:47am
After bonds, what’s next?
Banking

After bonds, what’s next?

It’s as if Dar’s exit was welcomed by international debt market. Just days after the finance czar’s ouster, the country
Published 04 Dec, 2017 10:32am
MPS: status quo likely
Banking

MPS: status quo likely

Status quo is our best friend. All the ten market participants BR Research spoke to regarding the monetary policy due to
Updated 23 Nov, 2017 02:19pm
Bonds: getting the price right
Banking

Bonds: getting the price right

To ease the forex mind, Pakistan is looking to access global capital markets for fourth successive year. Reportedly betw
Updated 23 Nov, 2017 06:11am
In deficits we trust
Banking

In deficits we trust

The current account deficit keeps on growing; up by 122 percent to $5.0 billion (4.4% of GDP) in Jul-Oct17. Of course, t
Updated 22 Nov, 2017 02:56pm
Big banks consolidate profits
Banking

Big banks consolidate profits

Banks were supposed to have it tough for much of CY17. And they have had it that way. Interest rates were down significa
Published 02 Nov, 2017 06:55am
MCB prospers post merger
Banking

MCB prospers post merger

Times promise to be good for banks. Big ones especially, MCB’s 9MCY17 results showed just high. In times of squeezed spr
Updated 30 Oct, 2017 10:59am
Bonds calling
Banking

Bonds calling

The global capital markets are fluid whilst the need of raising foreign debt at home is paramount. That is why, the deci
Updated 27 Oct, 2017 09:10am
Bank Al Habib impresses
Banking

Bank Al Habib impresses

Bank Al Habib Limited (BAHL) is doing just fine, even in these times of thin spreads, low interest rates and muted depos
Updated 26 Oct, 2017 08:34am
Deficit woes continue
Banking

Deficit woes continue

The current account woes are not going anywhere despite efforts by the government to enhance exports and curb imports. T
Updated 23 Oct, 2017 11:11am
UBL banks on investments
Banking

UBL banks on investments

UBL's has kept up with the dividend stream as it announced another Rs3/share interim cash dividend, with its financial r
Updated 20 Oct, 2017 10:10am
FDI growth, but…..
Banking

FDI growth, but…..

Foreign direct investments rose 56 percent in the quarter ending September 2017. Sooner than later you can expect the tr
Updated 20 Oct, 2017 07:35am
SBP on external woes
Banking

SBP on external woes

The annual report of SBP is a comprehensive document narrating the ground realities of the economy with a few boxes summ
Published 16 Oct, 2017 08:05am
Exchange rate argument
Banking

Exchange rate argument

The exchange rate debate is brewing up in print media, amongst seasoned economists and past policymakers. Some call for
Updated 13 Oct, 2017 11:16am
MPS: status quo must go
Banking

MPS: status quo must go

The monetary policy is due today. Solely looking at inflation, the decision could be in favour of status quo. Few member
Updated 29 Sep, 2017 11:37am
Eid spending patterns
Banking

Eid spending patterns

You probably have had enough red meat from Eid ul Azha, celebrated a few weeks ago. It’s time to digest and dig some spe
Published 26 Sep, 2017 05:49am
FDI builds momentum
Banking

FDI builds momentum

The FDI to Pakistan in August 2017 inched up by 148 percent year-on-year. It had gone up by 162.8 percent last month. If
Published 19 Sep, 2017 06:21am
The interest rate conundrum
Banking

The interest rate conundrum

The twin deficit is growing and so is the component of external financing. The fall of reserves has been tapered off as
Published 14 Sep, 2017 06:29am
Reading remittance spike
Banking

Reading remittance spike

Finally, some good news on the macro front! Remittances sent home by overseas Pakistanis rose a decent 13 percent in the
Published 13 Sep, 2017 06:15am
Big banks consolidate profits
Banking

Big banks consolidate profits

Banks were supposed to have it tough for much of first half of CY17. And there were reasons to believe as the interest r
Published 07 Sep, 2017 06:47am
Profit repatriation
Banking

Profit repatriation

The first month of FY18 was good for FDI, having more than doubled year-on-year, thanks largely to the nearly $90 millio
Updated 07 Sep, 2017 11:31am
Strong profits at Bank Alfalah
Banking

Strong profits at Bank Alfalah

Bank Alfalah Limited (BAFL) announced its first half 2017 financial results last week, and the profit and loss statement
Published 22 Aug, 2017 05:09am
HBL consolidates profits
Banking

HBL consolidates profits

HBL is in pretty good shape. Pakistan’s largest commercial bank announced its first half CY17 financial results yesterda
Published 15 Aug, 2017 06:52am
Falling currency confidence
Banking

Falling currency confidence

The confidence on currency stabilization is deteriorating. Looking at the trend of foreign exchange for the last two mon
Updated 09 Aug, 2017 06:37am
Think of a Zebra
Banking

Think of a Zebra

Did Pakistan’s financial sector reforms introduce in early 1990s fall short of their objective? Was there a problem in t
Updated 07 Aug, 2017 10:26am
Investments up at UBL
Banking

Investments up at UBL

UBL announced its 1HCY17 financial results yesterday, and kept up with the dividend stream, announcing Rs3/share as inte
Published 28 Jul, 2017 05:34am
Banking for the masses
Banking

Banking for the masses

Pakistani banks need to do more. A comparison between Pakistan and its neighbouring economy India vis-à-vis retail banki
Published 26 Jul, 2017 04:09am
Soaring deficit: Rethink now
Banking

Soaring deficit: Rethink now

The current account deficit has been recorded at an unexpected 4 percent of GDP ($12.1bn) in FY17. The number is even hi
Updated 21 Jul, 2017 08:06am
Of revenue mobilization
Banking

Of revenue mobilization

Tax revenues are an important part when it comes to achieving fiscal stability. Over the years Pakistan has faced a
Published 20 Jul, 2017 05:42am
FDI sees modest growth
Banking

FDI sees modest growth

The SBP has released FDI statistics for June 2017, and net FDI for FY17 grew by a not-so-encouraging 4.58 percent ye
Updated 18 Jul, 2017 07:30am
Remittances FY17
Banking

Remittances FY17

And so it happened. Annual remittances to the country for FY17 took a first plunge in 13 years. The yearly figure fo
Updated 12 Jul, 2017 04:44am
Rupee’s moment of truth?
Banking

Rupee’s moment of truth?

The moment Maryam Nawaz entered the JIT investigation room, rupee fell 3 percent against the greenback. And the inev
Updated 06 Jul, 2017 11:45am
M-wallets gain dominance
Banking

M-wallets gain dominance

A pivotal moment happened earlier this year. And it took place in the branchless banking (BB) segment. As per the la
Published 05 Jul, 2017 05:07am
Beware of the twin deficits
Banking

Beware of the twin deficits

In matters economic, one good year isn’t necessarily followed by a better year. The story of 5.3 percent GDP growth
Published 04 Jul, 2017 03:02am
External loan fueled growth
Banking

External loan fueled growth

The SBP’s nine month report reflects virtually all the good things happening with the economy. The not-so-good ones, tho
Updated 03 Jul, 2017 11:43am
Chinese OFDI
Banking

Chinese OFDI

Chinese FDI inflow in Pakistan is on the rise. But the Asian dragon’s outward investment elsewhere in the world had
Updated 01 Jul, 2017 02:59pm
FDI: getting better
Banking

FDI: getting better

It's nowhere close to the high seen in 2007-08, but the net FDI tally may finally be turning a corner after struggli
Published 23 Jun, 2017 04:41am
Current account is bleeding
Banking

Current account is bleeding

Current account has posted a deficit of $1.6 billion in May 2017 alone which is almost half of the full FY16 deficit
Published 23 Jun, 2017 04:39am
Qatari remittance
Banking

Qatari remittance

A grave diplomatic crisis brews in the Middle East. And it’s not without implications on the economy. Reports are al
Published 09 Jun, 2017 04:09am
"SMEs: Walk the talk"
Banking

"SMEs: Walk the talk"

Last budget, the Export Refinance Facility (ERF) brought the mark-up rate down to 3 percent (in several steps from 8
Updated 29 May, 2017 07:08am
Current account is bleeding
Banking

Current account is bleeding

The current account slippage continued in April as the deficit posted at $1.1 billion in Apr17 (Mar17:$546mn) and th
Published 18 May, 2017 05:09am
FDI: Not all about China yet
Banking

FDI: Not all about China yet

Granted that net FDI is up about 13 percent in the fiscal year to-date, but the quality of that number isn't exactly
Updated 17 May, 2017 04:52am
M-wallets: doing good
Banking

M-wallets: doing good

Twenty million mobile wallets – that’s some achievement! As per the latest quarterly newsletter by the State Bank of
Published 10 May, 2017 03:01am
HBL consolidates profits
Banking

HBL consolidates profits

Yesterday was about results. There was one announced by Pakistan’s largest commercial bank HBL too. And it went all we
Published 21 Apr, 2017 04:17am
UBL maintains profits
Banking

UBL maintains profits

UBL announced its 1QCY17 financial results yesterday, doling out Rs3/share as first interim dividend. The top line grew
Updated 20 Apr, 2017 06:24am
FDI: New approach needed
Banking

FDI: New approach needed

The story of nine-month FDI inflows is not very different from that in the preceding eight months. On a net basis, the F
Published 19 Apr, 2017 05:00am
Monetary profile
Banking

Monetary profile

Monetary aggregates seem to be shaping better, indicating pick up in formal credit and deposits. Growth of informali
Updated 17 Apr, 2017 05:13am
Dinosaurs of the digital age
Banking

Dinosaurs of the digital age

Various species of dinosaurs still walk the earth today. One of those is the traditional commercial banks. That was
Published 17 Apr, 2017 04:30am
Microfinance on the rise
Banking

Microfinance on the rise

Microfinance in Pakistan had a good run last year. Latest numbers released by the sector’s association, the Pakistan M
Published 06 Apr, 2017 05:37am
On sovereign bond yields
Banking

On sovereign bond yields

The latest SBP quarterly report mentions that the PML-N government had issued sovereign bonds totaling $4.5 billion so f
Published 04 Apr, 2017 05:31am
Bank of Punjab impresses
Banking

Bank of Punjab impresses

Being state-owned comes with the ills of being state-owned. The Bank of Punjab (BoPb) had the misfortune of carrying
Published 31 Mar, 2017 06:24am
Debt piling reserves
Banking

Debt piling reserves

In continuation to 'external scorecard in red' published on August 30, 2016, latest snapshot is presented here.
Published 20 Mar, 2017 05:57am
Is eight-months FDI really up?
Banking

Is eight-months FDI really up?

Business headlines in Pakistan today would likely read that FDI inflow in the country in the first eight months of current fiscal year was up 6 percent year-on-year.
Published 17 Mar, 2017 06:01am
BankIslami takes good strides
Banking

BankIslami takes good strides

Despite a tough acquisition of the defunct KASB Bank, BankIslami Pakistan Limited (BIPL) seems to be on the right track, as evident by CY16 financial results.
Published 15 Mar, 2017 05:41am
Move beyond remittances?
Banking

Move beyond remittances?

Once a saving grace, remittances have been under pressure since quite a while now; the foreign inflows from expats abroad have trotted down by 2.
Published 14 Mar, 2017 05:06am
Big banks keep growing
Banking

Big banks keep growing

Banks were supposed to have it tough in CY16, as the interest rates were sitting at record lows and yields on assets had declined significantly.
Published 10 Mar, 2017 06:32am
PSDP spending: Gathering pace
Banking

PSDP spending: Gathering pace

As the final months of this fiscal approach, the Rs800 billion public sector development programme (PSDP) has picked up spending momentum.
Published 08 Mar, 2017 06:17am
Sindh Bank marches on
Banking

Sindh Bank marches on

Banks have had a pretty good CY16 result season, and Sindh Bank Limited (SBL) was the latest to join.
Published 07 Mar, 2017 05:59am
Islamic banking: beyond congratulations
Banking

Islamic banking: beyond congratulations

In an exercise of self congratulations last week, representatives from the SBP highlighted how Islamic banking has boomed in Pakistan in the last fifteen odd years.
Published 06 Mar, 2017 05:50am
Talk about financial inclusion
Banking

Talk about financial inclusion

It is early to say whether the donor-led, government-sanctioned, and private-sector-supported financial inclusion mantra will do any good to the lives of those locked out of the financial system.
Published 01 Mar, 2017 06:47am
Banks: Window dressing
Banking

Banks: Window dressing

Window dressing is a usual practice that bankers adopt in days close to year end to make books healthier. In days of ris
Updated 29 Dec, 2017 11:55am
SME financing: Long road ahead
Banking

SME financing: Long road ahead

It is now a well-known fact that access to financing is one of the biggest hurdles being faced by SMEs in their quest to
Updated 29 Dec, 2017 11:56am