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North Korea celebrated its 60th birthday with a triumphal military parade on Tuesday just as the hermit state appears to be backing away from a disarmament deal, but analysts questioned why leader Kim Jong-il failed to appear. South Korea's military said the North had been massing weapons for days to show them off in its capital in a spectacle that followed a report Kim may be seriously ill.
South Korea's largest daily, the Chosun Ilbo, said Kim, 66 and suspected of suffering from chronic illness, collapsed last month, citing a South Korean diplomatic source in Beijing.
Kim failed to show up for the anniversary parade that featured displays of armaments, legions of goose-stepping soldiers and tens of thousands of fawning North Koreans shouting praises to him in unison, according to a North Korea state TV broadcast monitored in Seoul. Kim, as leader, attended the parades for the 50th and 55th anniversary of the state founded by his father Kim Il-sung. Kim's health is one of the most closely guarded secrets in the world's first communist dynasty, but Kim himself, at a summit with South Korea's president in October 2007, dismissed persistent media speculation he was ill.
"I make a little move and that gets huge coverage," Kim said in rare comments. "It seems like they're fiction writers and not journalists." North Korean media last reported a public appearance by Kim about a month ago.
Analysts have cautioned not to read too much into the public appearances of Kim, who can drop out of sight for months and then show up in field guidance tours to military bases, farms and factories for visits described by the North's propaganda machine as showing his tireless devotion to the communist state. "He may also not wanted to appear because international aid is drying up and the country might have had trouble giving out presents to its people to mark the anniversary," said Shunji Hiraiwa, a professor at the University of Shizuoka in Japan. Military experts keep a close eye on these set-piece parades to see if the secretive North unveils any new weapons systems.
"The North probably wants to boost the image of its military might in order to cement unity within the country and secure a better position in the denuclearisation negotiations," the Seoul daily JoongAng Ilbo cited a South Korean government official who is familiar with the North as saying. North Korea began taking apart its Soviet-era Yongbyon nuclear plant last November as called for in a disarmament-for-aid deal it struck with five regional powers.

Copyright Reuters, 2008

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