SINGAPORE: Spot gold may break a resistance at $1,985 per ounce, and climb moderately into a range of $1,992-$2,003 before turning around and falling.
The momentum gained through the bounce from the May 18 low of $1,951.73 is likely to maintain for one or two more days, to push the price higher.
A falling trendline defines a limit of $1,992, around which the bounce may end.
But market is usually full of surprises.
It may not necessarily follow what has been painted on the graphic.
A little extension of the bounce towards $2,003 won’t be the reversal of the short-term downtrend, which is supposed to progress into $1,929-$1,947 range.
A break below $1,970 could suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
On the daily chart, a target of $1,939 is yet to be fulfilled, which is pointed by a rising trendline.
Spot gold may fall towards $1,975
A retracement analysis on the uptrend from $1,613.60 indicates a lower target zone from $1,843 to $1,897.
The current fall is believed to be of the same degree to the one from the Feb. 2 high of $1,959.60.
The fall so far seems to be too shallow to complete.
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