Brazil markets see 3.6 percent recession in 2016

Brazil's political crisis is increasing pessimism about Latin America's largest economy on the markets, which now expect a recession of 3.6 percent this year, the central bank said Monday. The forecast was based on a weekly survey of 100 analysts and traders. Until now the projection had been for a contraction of 3.54 percent. Brazil is facing deep uncertainty as leftist President Dilma Rousseff fights impeachment proceedings, mass protests and an explosive scandal at state oil company Petrobras.
Brazil's economy contracted 3.8 percent last year, and a second year of recession would be the worst slump since the Great Depression. The central bank survey found markets were expecting a return to modest growth of 0.44 percent in 2017. The International Monetary Fund forecasts Brazil's economy will contract 3.5 percent this year and post zero growth in 2017. A symbol of the emerging markets boom in the 2000s, Brazil is today reeling from the political crisis, low oil prices and its downgrade to junk status by the big three international ratings agencies.