AGL 40.74 Increased By ▲ 0.71 (1.77%)
AIRLINK 128.34 Increased By ▲ 0.64 (0.5%)
BOP 6.68 Increased By ▲ 0.07 (1.06%)
CNERGY 4.54 Decreased By ▼ -0.06 (-1.3%)
DCL 9.18 Increased By ▲ 0.39 (4.44%)
DFML 41.70 Increased By ▲ 0.12 (0.29%)
DGKC 87.00 Increased By ▲ 1.21 (1.41%)
FCCL 32.68 Increased By ▲ 0.19 (0.58%)
FFBL 64.56 Increased By ▲ 0.53 (0.83%)
FFL 11.61 Increased By ▲ 1.06 (10.05%)
HUBC 112.49 Increased By ▲ 1.72 (1.55%)
HUMNL 14.95 Decreased By ▼ -0.12 (-0.8%)
KEL 5.03 Increased By ▲ 0.15 (3.07%)
KOSM 7.30 Decreased By ▼ -0.15 (-2.01%)
MLCF 40.70 Increased By ▲ 0.18 (0.44%)
NBP 61.60 Increased By ▲ 0.55 (0.9%)
OGDC 196.50 Increased By ▲ 1.63 (0.84%)
PAEL 27.56 Increased By ▲ 0.05 (0.18%)
PIBTL 7.71 Decreased By ▼ -0.10 (-1.28%)
PPL 154.20 Increased By ▲ 1.67 (1.09%)
PRL 26.87 Increased By ▲ 0.29 (1.09%)
PTC 16.40 Increased By ▲ 0.14 (0.86%)
SEARL 83.88 Decreased By ▼ -0.26 (-0.31%)
TELE 7.84 Decreased By ▼ -0.12 (-1.51%)
TOMCL 36.45 Decreased By ▼ -0.15 (-0.41%)
TPLP 8.93 Increased By ▲ 0.27 (3.12%)
TREET 17.10 Decreased By ▼ -0.56 (-3.17%)
TRG 59.20 Increased By ▲ 0.58 (0.99%)
UNITY 27.90 Increased By ▲ 1.04 (3.87%)
WTL 1.33 Decreased By ▼ -0.05 (-3.62%)
BR100 10,000 No Change 0 (0%)
BR30 31,002 No Change 0 (0%)
KSE100 94,960 Increased By 768 (0.82%)
KSE30 29,500 Increased By 298.4 (1.02%)

The yen held near six-week highs against the dollar on Monday as fears of economic recession, fanned by inversion of the US bond yield curve, sapped demand for higher-yield, growth reliant assets and drove investors toward "safe" destinations.

Attention is focused heavily on the state of world growth after the US Federal Reserve turned tail on raising interest rates, lacklustre Chinese data and a danger of a chaotic Brexit that would hit the British and European economies.

With US 10-year yields now almost two basis points below three month yields -- a classic recession signal -- equities have retreated while the yen and gold prices are up. The yen traded as high as 109.70 against the greenback but eased to trade around flat by 740 GMT.

"The Fed's pivot has lowered US real rates across the curve. As a result, US fixed income and equity markets may have become less attractive for Japanese investors," analysts at Goldman Sachs told clients, adding they recommended staying short the dollar versus yen.

As cash rushed into Japanese assets, Japanese 10-year government bond yields plunged to 31-month lows

Investors have for some time favoured the dollar which has the highest yields in the G10, and last week saw "long" positions on the dollar at a new 2019 high, according to calculations by Reuters and data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

But the dollar slipped versus a basket of currencies to around 96.6. It enjoyed no benefit from news US Special Counsel Robert Mueller had found no evidence of collusion between Russia and President Donald Trump's election campaign team.

The euro likewise was flat against the dollar at $1.13080, undermined by Friday's dire manufacturing PMI figures and trepidation that Germany's IFO Institute could release a downbeat assessment of Europe's biggest economy at 0900 GMT.

The currency had risen all the way to $1.14485 last week after the Fed meeting and hopes the euro bloc's economy was starting to turn the corner.

But despite the growth scare, higher-yield currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars held up reasonably well though the Canadian dollar languished near two-week lows.

The British pound lost roughly 0.2 percent against the dollar and euro at the beginning of a week that could decide the fate of Brexit as parliament is expected later on Monday to try and wrest control of the process from the prime minister.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

Comments

Comments are closed.