US-Mexico-Canada trade deal will help stave off US recession

WASHINGTON: Approval and implementation of the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) trade agreement will provide a major boost to the US economy and help stave off a recession, Thomas Donohue, chief executive of the US Chamber of Commerce, said on Thursday.

Donohue, whose organization is spearheading a major campaign to win passage of the trade agreement, said moving ahead with the USMCA would also help pave the way for trade agreements with China, the European Union, Japan and other countries.

"It is a major component in keeping us out of a recession," Donohue told Reuters after a news conference with other trade associations pushing the US Congress to ratify the replacement for the current North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

He said the timing was critical given other drags on the US economy, including troubles at top US exporter Boeing Co , which this week reported its biggest-ever quarterly loss due to the spiraling cost of resolving issues with its 737 MAX.

Boeing has reduced production of the grounded jet and suspended deliveries, but on Wednesday warned it might have to shut production completely if it runs into new hurdles with global regulators.

The single-aisle plane was grounded worldwide in March after two fatal crashes in Ethiopia and Indonesia.

"A reduction in our economic growth and our trade is taking place with the Boeing problem," Donohue said. "They'll survive this, they'll move forward."

Donohue and other business leaders cited bipartisan support for the USMCA and expressed optimism that the Democrat-controlled US House of Representatives would move to ratify the agreement in September.

Nearly 600 trade and commerce groups sent a letter urging lawmakers to approve the deal as soon as possible.

"If we don't move positively on Canada and Mexico, it will be very, very difficult for us to muster the goodwill in other places to get agreements with China, with Japan and the EU," Donohue told a news conference.

Leaders from the United States, Mexico and Canada signed the agreement in November, but it must be ratified by lawmakers in all three countries.

House Democrats have promised to block the deal until their concerns over environmental, labor and pharmaceutical aspects of the agreement are met, but Donohue and others said they were upbeat those issues could be resolved.

White House officials say the agreement would add about half a percentage point of economic growth to the US economy, creating several hundred thousand jobs and sparking up to $100 billion in new investments in the United States.

US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer is due to meet with Democratic lawmakers about the agreement again this week, with a focus on enforcement issues.

Industry leaders said moving forward would reduce uncertainty and free businesses to make new investments.

"The thing we hear most about the need to move forward with this agreement is the need to provide certainty," said Matthew Shay, president of the National Retail Federation.

The group said it would use state fairs and events in local districts in coming weeks to pressure lawmakers to back passage of the deal, while campaigning against its opponents.

"We will be activating our grassroots network and targeting key districts," Donohue said. "You can't be pro-jobs and anti-USCMA."