AGL 38.20 Increased By ▲ 0.18 (0.47%)
AIRLINK 210.79 Increased By ▲ 13.43 (6.8%)
BOP 9.67 Increased By ▲ 0.13 (1.36%)
CNERGY 6.33 Increased By ▲ 0.42 (7.11%)
DCL 9.15 Increased By ▲ 0.33 (3.74%)
DFML 37.50 Increased By ▲ 1.76 (4.92%)
DGKC 98.51 Increased By ▲ 1.65 (1.7%)
FCCL 35.60 Increased By ▲ 0.35 (0.99%)
FFBL 88.94 Increased By ▲ 6.64 (8.07%)
FFL 14.43 Increased By ▲ 1.26 (9.57%)
HUBC 131.60 Increased By ▲ 4.05 (3.18%)
HUMNL 13.75 Increased By ▲ 0.25 (1.85%)
KEL 5.48 Increased By ▲ 0.16 (3.01%)
KOSM 7.14 Increased By ▲ 0.14 (2%)
MLCF 45.09 Increased By ▲ 0.39 (0.87%)
NBP 61.35 Decreased By ▼ -0.07 (-0.11%)
OGDC 221.59 Increased By ▲ 6.92 (3.22%)
PAEL 40.69 Increased By ▲ 1.90 (4.9%)
PIBTL 8.42 Increased By ▲ 0.17 (2.06%)
PPL 199.89 Increased By ▲ 6.81 (3.53%)
PRL 39.41 Increased By ▲ 0.75 (1.94%)
PTC 27.53 Increased By ▲ 1.73 (6.71%)
SEARL 108.00 Increased By ▲ 4.40 (4.25%)
TELE 8.60 Increased By ▲ 0.30 (3.61%)
TOMCL 36.29 Increased By ▲ 1.29 (3.69%)
TPLP 13.65 Increased By ▲ 0.35 (2.63%)
TREET 24.38 Increased By ▲ 2.22 (10.02%)
TRG 61.15 Increased By ▲ 5.56 (10%)
UNITY 34.60 Increased By ▲ 1.63 (4.94%)
WTL 1.67 Increased By ▲ 0.07 (4.38%)
BR100 12,114 Increased By 387.5 (3.3%)
BR30 37,538 Increased By 1161.6 (3.19%)
KSE100 113,119 Increased By 3605.7 (3.29%)
KSE30 35,724 Increased By 1210.7 (3.51%)

Sterling gave up some of last week's strong gains on Monday after the European Union and Britain said a lot more work would be needed to secure an agreement on the country's departure from the bloc by Oct. 31.

The pound briefly fell more than 1% to a session low of $1.2517 in a choppy London session. Against the euro, the British currency weakened by a similar margin to 88.11 pence.

By late London trading, the pound was down 0.5% against the dollar and the euro, at $1.2585 and 87.59 pence respectively.

A Brexit deal was hanging in the balance on Monday after diplomats indicated that the bloc wanted more concessions from British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and a full agreement was unlikely this week.

"Don't take a Brexit deal for granted and the bigger risk here is what concessions will be made from either side," said Neil Mellor, a senior currency strategist at BNY Mellon.

Though the mood music for the pound's short-term outlook has improved considerably over the past week, market watchers, including UBS, warned that there were still hurdles in the way of Britain and the EU agreeing a deal.

What compromises each may be prepared to make will be key, with too many concessions by the EU potentially compromising the integrity of the single market and the British side hampered by internal political obstacles, UBS said.

"With time tight and much ground to cover we still, on balance, believe that the UK will be asking for a further extension to Article 50," said Dean Turner, an economist at the Swiss bank.

Sterling rocketed at the end of last week, posting its biggest two-day gain for several years, after Britain and the EU announced the surprise resumption of talks to agree a withdrawal arrangement before the scheduled Oct. 31 Brexit date.

Britain said on Sunday the latest talks had been constructive and there would be more talks on Monday.

Reflecting the uncertainty, gauges of volatility for short-term sterling instruments soared, with one-week maturities trading above 16 vol, more than double last week's reading and close to its highest level this year.

The rise in expected volatility has inverted the term structure for expected price swings in the pound to its most extreme levels this year, with shorter-dated volatility rising more than volatility gauges in longer-maturities as traders brace for more short-term Brexit news.

The latest positioning data showed a further unwinding of extreme short positions though they still remain large by historical averages, indicating that any news of a Brexit deal could squeeze the pound sharply higher.

Copyright Reuters, 2019

Comments

Comments are closed.