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national-bankThe bottom-line performance of the countrys largest commercial bank in 1HCY11 remained pale in comparison to the other giant banks. The National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) has reported an increase of 3.5 percent year-on-year in its profit during the 1HCY11, which is relatively low compared to double-digit growth in earnings recorded by UBL, MCB and ABL in this season. A higher interest rate environment and a surge in advances helped the bank to accrue a seven percent gain in mark-up income. The bank has largely bucked the industry-wide trend as its investment portfolio fell by around 10 percent to around Rs272 billion in the first-half. This sudden aberration in asset utilisation mix will definitely stupefy investors, given that the cumulative investment portfolio for all commercial banks climbed by 21 percent during 1HCY11. The bank had also stayed aggressive on the investment front during the last year, and its investment portfolio surged by around 38 percent in CY10. Therefore, the advances-to-deposit ratio (ADR) improved by nearly three percentage points to 61 percent in the first six months of CY11. On the other hand, the banks deposit base stayed stagnant at Rs831 billion. The unchanged deposit level when viewed against the cumulative deposit base of all commercial banks which has surged by around 9.3 percent, suggests that either the state owned commercial lender has laid down expensive deposits or marketing activities have remained tepid. However, the banks mark-up expense has surged by 5.6 percent year-on-year in 1HCY11. The banks bottom line took a knock from higher provisioning expenses. Although the detailed accounts are not available yet, the growth in provisioning expenses is likely due to accumulation of fresh non-performing loans. This can be determined from the fact that the banks non-performing loans rose by around nine percent in the first three months of CY11 and around 22 percent in CY10. On top of that, the largest banks infection ratio stood around 17 percent in 1QCY11, which is much higher than the top five banks average of 12.6 percent. NBPs non-interest income jumped by 18 percent, year-on-year, in 1HCY11 on the heels of higher brokerage income, income from dealing in foreign currencies and other income. The best part is that the public origination managed to curb growth in non-mark-up expenses, which climbed by 16 percent, year-on-years, close to the prevailing rate of inflation. The NBPs share price tumbled to its lower limit by the end of trade on Thursday to Rs43.47 while the overall market was down by one percent. The share price has eased off by 42 percent since the start of CY11, against the KSE100- index that was up 18 percent over the same period.

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National Bank of Pakistan
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(Rs mn)                               1HCY11     1HCY10          Chg
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Markup earned                        46,935      43,701         7.4%
Markup expensed                     (24,249)    (22,963)        5.6%
Net markup income                    22,685      20,738         9.4%
Provisioning                         (6,136)     (4,459)       37.6%
Net markup income after provision    16,549      16,279         1.7%
Other income                          9,831       8,300        18.4%
Operating revenues                   32,516      29,038        12.0%
Other  expenses                     (14,721)    (12,929)       13.9%
Profit before taxation               11,659      11,650         0.1%
Profit after taxation                 8,092       7,821         3.5%
EPS (Rs)                               4.81        4.65
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Source: Company Accounts

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