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Soyabean futures at the Chicago Board of Trade fell to 4-month lows and new contract lows on Tuesday amid a turn to good crop weather in the US Midwest, traders said. CBOT soy closed 3-1/2 to 5-3/4 cents per bushel lower, with August down 5-3/4 at $5.57-1/2 per bushel.
New-crop November was down 5-3/4 at $5.76-1/4 per bushel. The new contract low for August is $5.55, below the previous low of $5.62 set on Monday. Funds sold 4,000 lots, traders said.
The US soybean crop is in its key pod-setting stage of development and good crop weather now will boost production prospects and likely continue to weigh on soybean futures prices.
Attempts to rally soy futures have been thwarted by the record large global stocks of soy and prospects for a solid production year in 2006 in the United States.
Scattered rainfall and warm temperatures are expected in the US Midwest crop region over the next week to 10 days, a private forecaster said on Tuesday.
"The shower activity and temperatures that are not that far from normal will aid the filling corn and soybean crops," said Meteorlogix forecaster Joel Burgio.
USDA late on Monday said 53 percent of the US soy crop was in good to excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and above the 51 percent of a year ago.
USDA also said that 72 percent of the crop was setting pods and 93 percent was blooming.
Export activity included news that Taiwan was tendering for 24,000 tonnes of US soybeans. Deliveries Tuesday on the August contract remained heavy at 1,343 lots and there was scattered stopping, another reminder of a lack of aggressive demand for spot soy.
Chart-based traders were eyeing the August contract, which remains below all key moving averages and is into technical oversold areas with its nine-day relative strength index at 31. Technical support in new-crop November at $5.78-1/2 per bushel was broken, driving the contract to a session low of $5.73-1/2. Resistance was at $6.04.
Volume in soybeans was estimated by the CBOT at 91,754 futures and 25,256 options. Traders noted strong volume in daytime electronic trade in the November. Soymeal volume was estimated at 35,651 futures and 4,184 options. Soyoil volume was estimated at 37,126 futures and 1,726 options.
Cash basis bids for soy in the Midwest on Tuesday were steady to weak amid selling pressure by farmers who have been holding out for market rallies that have not materialised.
Soymeal ended down 70 cents to $2.60 per ton and new contract lows were set in all months, with August down $1.00 at $157.90 per ton. Soymeal was pressured by the declining soybean futures.
Export workings featured Israel's tender for 7,000 tonnes of soymeal from the United States or South America. Deliveries of soymeal on the August contract remained heavy at 524 lots. Commercial trader Bunge stopped 390 lots. Soyoil futures closed 0.07 to 0.13 cent per lb lower, with August down 0.12 at 26.04 cents per lb.
Soyoil also was pressured by the drop in soybeans with some underpinning from soaring crude oil markets and from the higher close overnight in Malaysian palm oil futures. Deliveries on the August contract were light at 75 lots amid scattered stopping.

Copyright Reuters, 2006

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