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Soyabean futures at the Chicago Board of Trade fell on Wednesday on follow-through selling amid little news, traders said. The weakness in corn added to the bearish tone, with prices of both stuck within recent trading ranges as the end of the year approaches.
"There's a little technical negativity but we're holding up fairly well given that we're off the lows. But we haven't had the follow-through one way or the other it's a grinding market with no fresh inputs to get excited about," said one cash-connected CBOT trader. January soya closed 2 cents down at $6.61 per bushel, after slipping through its 10-day moving average of $6.67 on Tuesday.
The CBOT corn market through December 2007 ended 3-3/4 to 4-1/2 cents lower. The deferred months in corn were under pressure from wheat/corn spreading amid ideas that private analyst Informa Economics would bump up its 2007 corn plantings estimate while cutting wheat and soyabeans, traders said.
The estimates were expected to be released later this week. The current price relationship between the two is encouraging US farmers to plant a lot more corn next spring at the expense of fewer soyabeans. There also was some wheat/soya spreading by Man Financial. Volume was large. In soyabeans, an estimated 118,091 futures and 16,659 options traded.
Soyameal volume was pegged at 33,836 futures and 3,318 options. Estimated soyaoil trade was seen at 54,321 futures and 3,727 options. Traders were turning their attention to South America where the soyabean crop is in stages of development. Most of Brazil's soya crop is planted and appears to be off to a good start, South American crop specialists said on Tuesday.
But there were some concerns about dryness in southern Brazil after a recent hot, dry spell in Rio Grande do Sul. It should be mostly dry in Rio Grande do Sul over the next two days but showers were expected to move on Friday, said DTN Meteorlogix.
The weekend should be mostly dry but more rain was forecast for Monday to Tuesday. About 70 percent of the Argentine soya crop are seeded with conditions favourable for development. Spot basis bids for soyabeans at Midwest River terminals were firm late on Wednesday reflecting a drop in barge freight while interior bids were mostly steady.
Fresh sales were slow but farmers were hauling in previously contracted crops, adding to supplies at local elevators, dealers said. The products were weak following a seasonal and choppy pattern before the year's end. December soyaoil closed 0.03 cent lower at 28.34 cents per lb, January oil ended 0.13 cent weaker at 28.56.
December soyameal was 70 cents lower at $186.50 per ton, January meal was $1.20 down at $188.70. Traders were liquidating December contracts before expiration on Thursday. There was a heavy round of December soyameal deliveries overnight 703 contracts, which were met by scattered stoppers. December soyaoil deliveries were light at 33 contracts, which was met by a strong stopper. A UBS Warburg customer stopped 30 lots.
The National Oilseed Processors Association will issue its November crush data on Thursday. Analysts expect the industry group to report that its members crushed about 151 million bushels of soyabeans in November, compared with 155 million in October. Asian markets were lower overnight with China's Dalian soyabean and soyameal futures lower and Malaysian palm oil flat to weak.

Copyright Reuters, 2006

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