Mexican stocks fell on Friday as steadying oil prices failed to abate concerns that more costly fuel could hobble the economy in the United States, Mexico's main trading partner. The benchmark IPC stock index closed 0.45 percent lower at 28,338.12 points, marking its fourth straight day of losses and a four-month low.
Trading was volatile in low volume with US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday. In stock trading, shares of America Movil, Latin America's biggest cell phone operator, slipped 0.94 percent to 26.42 pesos. Group Carso, a holding company used by Mexican tycoon Carlos Slim to control his industrial and retail interests, lost 3.15 percent to 44.01 pesos.
Among gainers, miner Penoles gained 3.9 percent to 271.23 after BBVA Bancomer changed its rating from "inferior to market" to "buy. The peso firmed 0.21 percent to 10.3335 per dollar. US light crude retreated more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after setting a record above $145 a barrel.
But the pullback provided little comfort to investors worried that the 50 percent rise in crude prices this year will push American consumers to spend less on other goods, and further weaken the slowing US economy. "It's not the price today that's the worry, but what is ahead. We are talking about prices of $200 per barrel in a not-so-distant future," one trader in Mexico City said.
A prolonged slowdown in the United States, where growth has weakened amid a housing downturn and a credit crunch, would likely drag on the economy in Mexico, which sends more than 80 percent of its exports to its northern neighbour.
The peso gained as investors bet a weak US economy will keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates any time soon despite the inflationary pressures from higher oil prices. While the United States is seen staying on hold, Mexico's central bank may raise interest rates as soon as its next monthly policy meeting on July 18. "The spread between local and North American rates could stay the same, or even get wider," one peso trader said.
Mexico's peso has strengthened 5.4 percent so far this year as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to prop up the US economy while Mexico's central bank held rates steady and then raised rates in June to fight rising inflation.
That has pushed the spread between benchmark US and Mexican interest rates wider, making peso-denominated assets more attractive to investors that borrow in low-yielding currencies. In debt trading, the government's benchmark 10-year peso bond lost 0.058 of a point to price at 91.075, pushing its yield up 1 basis point to 9.17 percent.
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