The jobs situation could worsen slightly over the coming few months, US President Barack Obama warned Sunday as he declined to spell out whether the world's largest economy was out of recession. "I want to be clear, that probably the jobs picture is not going to improve considerably and it could even get a little bit worse over the next couple of months," Obama said in an interview with CNN.
"We're probably not going to start seeing enough job creation to deal with the, you know, a rising population until some time next year." As the nation battles its worst downturn since the Great Depression in the 1930s, the unemployment rate rose to 9.7 percent in August. And Obama has already warned that it may well tip over 10 percent before it begins to fall.
The US labour market has moved closer to recovery as month-on-month job losses in August narrowed to 216,000, compared to 276,000 jobs lost in July well down from a peak of 741,000 losses in January.
Obama said Sunday he believed the embattled US economy would begin slowly adding jobs, saying: "What we've done, I think, in the first eight months is to stop the bleeding."
But he acknowledged there were huge challenges ahead. "We lost so many jobs that making up for those that have already been lost is going to require really high growth rates," the US president said.
"You need 150,000 additional jobs each month, just to keep pace with a growing population. So if we're only adding 50,000 jobs, that's a great reversal from losing 700,000 jobs early this year. "But, you know, it means that we've still got a ways to go."
The US economic crisis triggered a financial maelstrom dragging down the global economy and pitching many nations into turmoil. As the downturn bottoms out, figures showed the US economy shrank at a 1.0-percent annual pace in the second quarter, reflecting an easing of the deep recession that led to a 6.4-percent pace of decline in the first quarter.
But Obama, who hosts a G20 summit in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, starting Thursday aimed at tightening financial regulations, declined to add his voice to growing speculation that the United States was clawing its way out of recession.
"I'll leave that up to the Fed chairman to pronounce whether it's officially over or not. I think what's absolutely clear is that the financial markets are working again," Obama said. The Federal Reserve policymakers, led by Fed chief Ben Bernanke, may formally acknowledge an economic recovery is underway during two-days of talks this week, which open Tuesday.
Obama launched a full-bore media offensive on five Sunday talk shows ahead of a crucial week, including the UN General Assembly and the G20 summit.
As countries pull back from recession, led by growth in Asia, the onus on leaders gathering in Pittsburgh is to decide when to pull the plug on state stimulus packages and how to co-ordinate that move.
Obama said the talks would also focus on how to expand US export markets. "We can't go back to the era where the Chinese or the Germans or other countries just are selling everything to us," he said. "We're taking out a bunch of credit card debt or home equity loans, but we're not selling anything to them."
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