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The eurozone swung to a trade surplus in October from a deficit a year earlier as exports fell less than imports despite a stronger euro exchange rate, likely helping economic growth late in 2009. The seasonally unadjusted trade surplus of the 16-country area totalled 8.8 billion euros ($12.7 billion), compared with a deficit of 1.2 billion euros in October 2008 and a revised surplus of 900 million euros in September 2009, data showed.
"The October trade data maintain hopes that net trade will make a further significant contribution to eurozone GDP in the fourth quarter," said Howard Archer, economist at IHS Global Insight. Unadjusted exports fell 17 percent year-on-year in October while imports dropped 24 percent, the European Union's statistics office said on Friday.
Adjusted for seasonal swings, the surplus was 6.3 billion euros, up from 4.3 billion in September as exports eased 0.2 percent month-on-month while imports fell 2.2 percent on the month. "Exports have been generally trending up in recent months despite the very strong euro as they have benefited from recovering global economic growth and trade," Archer said.
The euro's exchange rate against the dollar was around $1.30 in October last year against $1.46 in October 2009, prompting complaints from European businesses that the single currency's strength is hurting them. But the debt troubles of Greece, which sent the euro lower against the dollar, could help ease the exchange rate pressure. "Helping matters for eurozone exporters will be the recent retreat in the euro from a 15-month high of $1.5145 in late November to its current level of $1.44. A further retreat in the euro would go down very well," Archer said.

Copyright Reuters, 2009

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