Securities: ARIF HABIB SECURITIES LIMITED - Analysis of Financial Statements Financial Year 2004 - 2001 H 2010
Arif Habib Securities Limited (AHSL), the holding company of Arif Habib Group, was incorporated on 14th November 1994. It is listed on all the three stock exchanges of the country. It is an investment company and offers a broad range of financial services including advisory, underwriting and brokerage services.
The principal business of the company is to invest in listed and unlisted equities. AHSL won the Top 25 Companies award of Karachi Stock Exchange for seven years in a row from 2001 to 2007. This is due to earning good return on equity, distribution of high dividends to its shareholders and good corporate governance.
AHSL holds shares in both the operating subsidiaries and other strategic investments. The diagram clarifies the chain of hierarchy and the position of AHSL in the Arif Habib Group. This shows that the advantage of a well-diversified portfolio, creating useful synergies is responsible for the success of the company.
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COMPANY SNAPSHOT
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Symbol: AHSL
Current Rate: 41.29
Turnover: 10193256
Market Capitalization Rs 154837500000
Outstanding Shares 375000000
Earning per share Rs 7.01
Price/Earnings Ratio Rs 7.01
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
The industry has faced a lot of challenges in the year of 2009. The turmoil of the stock market index has taken away many foreign investors from the market and they are unlikely to invest in this region until the market is stabilised. This has an adverse effect on the portfolio of various security houses in the industry. Arif Habib Securities has also suffered, as their share prices went down to Rs 28.73 by the year-end.
For the period 1H10, the stock market has registered an appreciation of only 0.6% in KSE-100 index reaching at 9382 points. Market has not been able to respond in the 1H10, despite the positive improvements in the macroeconomic conditions such as controlling the inflation rates, trade deficit and fiscal deficit etc.
PERFORMANCE IN 2001 H 2010The company has shown a substantial performance in 1H10. It has earned an after-tax profit of Rs 2.628bn as compared to loss of Rs 2.183bn in 1H09. This explains the increase of EPS of Rs 7.01 in 1H10 from Rs(5.82) in 1H09. This performance was contributed by good dividends and growth posted by the strategic investee companies as well as unrealized gains on investments both portfolio and strategic.
Going forward a shift in the composition of the group has been observed with an increase in shareholding in Al-Abbas Cement Industries Limited to 37.09% from 25.23%; decline in holding of Fatima Fertilizer from 12.59% to 10%; eventual sale-off of entire holding of Arif Habib Bank Limited; and disposal of entire holding in Real Estate Modaraba Company Limited.
PROFITABILITYThe company faced a huge loss for FY09. The operating revenue decreased to Rs 233m from Rs 523m in FY09. This, with the loss on the investment amounted to Rs 815m, resulted in the operating loss of Rs 2134.6m, whereas in the previous year the operating profit was at Rs 9154.2m. This huge fall has been the result of the financial sector crisis faced by the country.
The heavy loss of the investments clearly points out the value of the portfolio, which declined significantly due to decline of the share index of the KSE indexes. The profit before tax also was Rs 2134.6m this was because of the enormous finance cost that was on short-term borrowing.
All profit ratios were in negative because of the loss that they incurred in FY09. Return on equity decreased from positive 44.1% to -14.5% in FY09 due to decline of shareholders in the current year as the general reserves were affected because of the loss. In addition, the loss that was incurred led to the negative ratio. ROA also experienced the trend same as ROE.
The ratio declined from 34.1% to negative 12.6%. The same reasons can be attached to such financial performance. Considering the industry, most companies faced the same situation such as Arif Habib Securities, except JS Global Capital Ltd, which was able to sustain its profitability for FY09 and maintain healthy ratios in all the other areas of performance.
First half of FY10 showed improved signs for AHSL, as the ratios turned into positive figures. Net profit ratio in 1H10 mounted to 343%, owing to the fact that return was higher compared to the operating revenue. One of the key factors was gain on re-measurement of net investments accumulated to Rs 2.05bn. This led to high net profit ratio.
The ROA and ROE confirmed the profitability growth as the figures resulted in positive. The ROA for 1H10 was 10.50% and ROE was 13.95%, mainly owing to the net profitability of Rs 2.628bn. As we can see from the below graph, the company's vulnerability to the share index is very elastic, a slow but consistent decline in the share index as greatly affected the profitability of the company leaving its investors very low level of return.
Second point that can be made is the negative return that the shareholders had to incur because of the share index crisis where the points from 15000 fell to just 9200. This has resulted in the loss of the portfolio of the company.
LIQUIDITYThe liquidity crisis has hit the financial sector of the country; Arif Habib too has been affected by it. The current ratio has decreased from 3.8x in FY08 to 0.9x in FY09. This has resulted due to lower bank balances compared to FY08 and also because of a decline in the advances section of the current assets. This coupled with short-term borrowing, which mounted to Rs 2bn, has led to the decline of the current ratio for FY09.
Considering the industry average of 0.97x, the company is doing fairly well in maintaining its liquidity. However, the loss incurred during the year, might need the company to take extra care of their liquidity management. The other ratio is the income/expense ratio, showed a negative trend because the net income considered as losses because of the loss of the sale of the securities or the portfolio.
In 1H10, the liquidity condition remained consistent to the performance of FY09. The current ratio continued to be in a healthy position as it improved to 1.98x in 1H10. The revenue/expense ratio showed a tremendous increase from -0.8x in FY09 to 10.27x in 1H10. Deeply analyzing this situation, we can see the effect of 'other income', which mounted to Rs 1.65 million earned in 1H10. This income was consequent from the mark-up on the bank balances, receivables etc, along with interest received.
DEBT MANAGEMENTThe debt management of the company has shown a better image compared to the profitability for FY09. The company has maintained nil gearing ratio with respect to Long-term debt-to-equity, however, maintained very low gearing ratio as Debt to Equity for FY09 is 0.16 and Debt to Assets is 0.12.
In 1H10, the company was able to maintain its nil gearing ratio especially in long-term Debt to Equity, however a minor increase in the Debt to Equity section was seen as the company opted for a Short Term Borrowing of Rs 95mn in 1H10. The TIE ratio increased from -3.95 in FY09 to 12.95 in 1H10, owing to the fact of higher EBIT and lower financial cost to the company.
INVESTORS EXPECTATIONSIn FY09, the company has faced negative expectations from the investors' point of view; this is since the company has faced loss for FY09. The EPS showed a negative trend as well as declining trend. The share prices fell from a high of Rs 161 to a low of Rs 28.73, this led to an EPS of Rs-7.38.
Similarly the Price/Earning ratio showed a analogous trend with the prices declining very low the and the earnings going into negative, the ratio resulted in Rs-3.89. The loss has restricted the company to pay out any dividends in the current year, the dividend payout ratio is 0% for FY09 and the book value per share has also declined to just Rs 43.03.
The company was able to improve its financial position in 1H10, as it also reflected in its market ratios, the EPS has increased from negative Rs 7.38 in FY09 to positive Rs 7.01 in 1H10, owing to the fact of the increase in net profit.
Secondly the P/E multiple has also increased from -3.58 to 7.01, this shows that the investors are gaining confidence in the company. The stock price from the year-end of FY09 of Rs 28 to 1H10 of Rs 41 provides evidence of the investors' confidence in the company. Company has a very low beta of 0.005, as this shows that the share price of the company is independent of the market movements.
FUTURE OUTLOOKThe company has been able to perform better in 1H10 as compared to FY09. The KSE-100 index is on the appreciation and the current market touches near 9500 points. The subsidiaries are also performing up to the mark and progressing as per the plans. The Market is on the rise, as the macroeconomic conditions tend to improve over the FY10 of the economy. These conditions would facilitate the inflow of funds from investors and also increase the profitability for the brokerage companies such as AHSL.
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In Rupees 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H'10
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Balance sheet 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H'10
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SHARE CAPITAL AND RESERVES
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Ordinary shares of Rs 10/- each 500,000,000 300,000,000 300,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000
Issued, subscribed and paid up capital 290,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,750,000,000 3,750,000,000
shares of Rs 10/- each
Buy back of shares -20,000,000 -
270,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,750,000,000 3,750,000,000
Reserve for issue of bonus shares
General reserve 4,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 4,000,000,000 15,090,150,164
Surplus/Deficit on
revaluation of investments 1,929,406,463 5,833,518,210 4,867,870,403 -87,425,952
Unappropriated profit 4,491,235,243 5,241,070,168 12,428,241,132 8,472,748,885
Total Shareholder's Equity 10,690,641,706 18,074,588,378 24,296,111,535 16,135,322,933 18,840,150,164
Non current liabilities
Deferred tax liability 1,251,296,567 1,833,794,116 2,916,235,559 2,950,231,966 2,622,435,081
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CURRENT LIABILITIES:
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Short term running finance - secured 24051162
Trade & other payables 63,091,763 122,339,161 4,092,745 110,154,289 3,362,978,427
Interest and mark-up accrued
on short term borrowings 8,249,621 380,115 2,256,351 90,790,200 67,383,031
Taxation 22,112,500 18,122,191 51,140,420 0 49,372,632
Short term borrowings 1,541,696,789 2632515667 96509328
Total Current liabilities 117,505,046 140,841,467 1,599,186,305 2,833,460,156 3,576,243,418
Total Liabilities 1,368,801,613 1,974,635,583 4,515,421,864 5,783,692,122 6,198,678,499
Total Liabilities and Shareholder's Equity 12,059,443,319 20,049,223,961 28,811,533,399 21,919,015,055 25,038,828,663
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NON CURRENT ASSETS
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Operating fixed assets - tangible 9,015,659 5,399,800 28,298,232 72,156,282 66,403,642
Stork exchange memberships & licenses 0
Long term investments 6,540,329,828 14,508,840,738 22,877,767,999 16,544,539,328 17,886,253,609
Long term loan and advance 250000000 0
Long term deposits 261,000 53,000 44,590 44,590 44,590
Total non current assets 22,906,110,821 16,616,740,200 17,952,701,841
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CURRENT ASSETS:
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4190058134
Asset classified as held for sale 2,673,313,686 2,673,313,686
Advance Tax 48,865,944 57,093,835
Marketable securities 3,371,947,570 5,134,859,682 5,774,324,156 2,544,376,775
Trade debts 34,182,776 48,510,576 3,510,576 0 27,237,815
Sale proceed receivables 521066342 0
Margin trading - clients 612,771,791 16,169 15,000,000 0
Advances, deposits, prepayments 135116538 62,969,235 89,304,394 17058918 125468096
& other receivables
Cash & bank balances 584,751,815 288,574,762 23,283,454 18,659,532 12,955,256
Total current assets 5,259,836,832 5,534,930,424 5,905,422,580 5,302,274,855 7,086,126,822
Total Assets 12,059,443,319 20,049,223,961 28,811,533,401 21,919,015,055 25,038,828,663
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PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H'10
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Operating revenue 594,121,740 360,594,399 523,141,850 233,286,220 753,708,295
Capital gain on investments - net 2,010,641,482 2,163,782,675 4,618,084,994 -815,888,842 2,052,581,406
2,604,763,222 2,524,377,074 5,141,226,844 -582,602,622 2,806,289,701
Operating expenses -76,538,194 -66,674,485 -80,848,351 -168,860,237 -106,505,660
Impairment loss on asset -1,011,194,260 -332,602,086
classified as held for sale
Operating profit 2,528,225,028 2,457,702,589 5,060,378,493 -1,762,657,119 2,367,181,955
Financial charges -195,972,754 -54,391,923 -71,412,061 -456,114,717 -182,789,908
Other charges -10,714,779 -6,898,434 -12,457,500 0 0
Other income 3,048,997 4,779,848 27,440,616 84,185,148 165,626,784
Gain on remeasurement of investments 2,443,837,943 1,533,688,265 4,836,626,205 0 0
2,240,199,407 1,477,177,756 4,780,197,260 -371,929,569 -17,163,124
Profit before taxation 4,768,424,435 3,934,880,345 9,840,575,753 -2,134,586,688 2,350,018,831
Provision for taxation -611,061,274 -252,545,420 -1,543,404,787 -634,341,049 278,424,243
Profit after taxation 4,157,363,161 3,682,334,925 8,297,170,966 -2,768,927,737 2,628,443,074
Earnings per share-basic 143.36 12.27 27.66 -7.38 7.01
Total Revenures 2,607,812,219 2,529,156,922 5,168,667,460 -498,417,474 2971916485
Total Expenses -283,225,727 -127,964,842 -164,717,912 -624,974,954 -289,295,568
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FINANCIAL RATIOS 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H'10
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
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Profit Margin 159.42% 145.60% 160.53% -1186.92% 348.73%
Gross Profit Margin 99.88% 99.81% 99.47% 116.89% 94.43%
Return on Assets 34.47% 18.37% 28.80% -12.63% 10.50%
Return on Equity 38.89% 20.37% 34.15% -17.16% 13.95%
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LIQUIDITY RATIOS
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Current Ratio 44.76 39.30 3.69 1.87 1.98
Revenue/Expense Ratio 9.21 19.76 31.38 -0.80 10.27
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DEBT MANAGEMENT RATIOS
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Debt to Asset 0.11 0.10 0.16 0.12 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.13 0.11 0.19 0.16 0.01
Long Term Debt to Equity 0.117 0.101 0.120 0.000 0.000
Times Interest Earned 12.90 45.19 70.86 -3.86 12.95
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MARKET RATIOS
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Earning per share 143.36 12.27 27.66 -7.38 7.01
Price/Earnings Ratio 3.47 9.50 5.84 -3.89 7.01
Dividend per share 10 7.50 1.50 0.00 0.00
Book value per share 368.64 60.25 80.99 43.03 50.24
No of Shares issued 29,000,000 300,000,000 300,000,000 375000000 375000000
Market prices(Year End) 498.00 116.60 161.48 28.73 49.16
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COURTESY: Economics and Finance Department, Institute of Business Administration, Karachi, prepared this analytical report for Business Recorder.
DISCLAIMER: No reliance should be placed on the [above information] by any one for making any financial, investment and business decision. The [above information] is general in nature and has not been prepared for any specific decision making process. [The newspaper] has not independently verified all of the [above information] and has relied on sources that have been deemed reliable in the past. Accordingly, the newspaper or any its staff or sources of information do not bear any liability or responsibility of any consequences for decisions or actions based on the [above information].
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