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The S&P 500 ended a seventh straight week of gains with a banks-led rally amid healthy volume after encouraging financial results from J.P. Morgan. Strength in financial stocks helped offset economic reports that showed soft December retail sales and consumer sentiment dented by rising gasoline prices. The market's resilience will be tested next week when a number of banks report results.
-- Intel falls despite strong quarter, outlook
-- Midcap stock index closes at record high
"On balance, with supporting prices and in spite of mixed economic data, there is expectation of a strong earnings season," said Jim Awad, managing director at Zephyr Management in New York. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co shares added 1 percent to $44.91 after reporting stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. Its stock has risen 5.9 percent in the first two weeks of the year.
However, banks' leadership in the market may stall as the sector faces strong technical resistance. Three major indexes - the KBW bank index, the S&P financial sector and the Select Sector SPDR financial ETF - approach multi-month highs reached last April.
"If we don't take a break before (moving above) the April highs, we're going to be extended and overbought, so it will be a dangerous breakout," said John Schlitz, chief US market technician at Instinet in New York. The KBW bank index rose 2.3 percent to 54.70, near a strong resistance area between 57 and 59. Earnings next week from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley will be key for the sector.
"Are we close to a breakout or resistance?," Instinet's Schlitz said. "I'd probably caution towards the latter." The Dow Jones industrial average added 55.48 points, or 0.47 percent, to 11,787.38. The Standard & Poor's 500 rose 9.48 points, or 0.74 percent, to 1,293.24. The Nasdaq Composite gained 20.01 points, or 0.73 percent, to 2,755.30.
For the week, the Dow ended up 1 percent, the S&P 500 1.7 percent higher and the Nasdaq composite up 1.9 percent. US financial markets will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Schlitz said the seven weeks of gains on the S&P are a warning sign for declines, which are historically not uncommon in the second half of January. The last time the benchmark rose eight or more weeks in a row was a nine-week run between November 2003 and January 2004.
The S&P Midcap 400 index broke its all-time closing record, rising 0.7 percent to 931.07. The index includes companies with market capitalisation's of about $750 million to $3.3 billion. Higher gasoline prices helped push December consumer prices up at the fastest pace in a year and a half. The high gas price also weighed on consumer sentiment in early January, according to a Reuters/University of Michigan survey.
At $3.09 a gallon, gasoline is the highest since October 2008. Consumer spending noticeably slowed in 2008 as gasoline prices spiked. Increasing oil prices have contributed to a rise in the S&P energy index, which advanced 1.2 percent to close at the highest since September 2008 in another sign of an overextended market.
Dow component Intel Corp fell 1 percent to $21.08 a day after it posted a better-than-expected quarterly profit and forecast strong revenue for the coming quarter. For the third consecutive quarter, shares of the chipmaker moved in the opposite direction of the S&P 500 a day after it reported earnings, casting a shadow over the chipmaker's long-standing ability to influence the market. About 8.1 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, below last year's estimated daily average of 8.47 billion. Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a ratio of about 4 to 3, while on the Nasdaq, more than seven stocks rose for every four that fell.

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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