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Muammar Qadhafi is emphatic he will not leave Libya, South African President Jacob Zuma said on Tuesday after talks with the Libyan leader that left prospects for a negotiated end to the conflict looking dim. But new questions emerged over how long Qadhafi could hold on after a senior UN aid official said shortages of food and medicine in areas of Libya controlled by Qadhafi amounted to a "time bomb".
Within hours of Zuma's departure from Tripoli late on Monday, Libyan television reported that Nato aircraft had resumed attacks, striking what it called civilian and military sites in Tripoli and Tajoura, just east of the capital. Zuma was in Tripoli to try to revive an African "roadmap" for ending the conflict, which started in February with an uprising against Qadhafi and has since turned into a war with thousands of people killed.
The talks produced no breakthrough, with Qadhafi's refusal to quit - a condition the rebels and Nato have set as a pre-condition for any cease-fire - still the sticking point.
"Colonel Qadhafi called for an end to the bombings to enable a Libyan dialogue," Zuma's office said in a statement. "He emphasised that he was not prepared to leave his country, despite the difficulties." Zuma also said Qadhafi's personal safety "is a concern" - a reference to Nato strikes which have repeatedly hit the Libyan leader's Bab al-Aziziyah compound and other locations used by the Libyan leader and his family. Now in its fourth month, Libya's conflict is deadlocked on the ground, with anti-Qadhafi rebels unable to break out of their strongholds and advance towards Tripoli, where Qadhafi appears to be firmly entrenched.
Rebels control the east of Libya around the city of Benghazi, Libya's third-biggest city Misrata, and a mountain range stretching from the town of Zintan, 150 km (95 miles) south of Tripoli, towards the border with Tunisia. Speaking in the main rebel stronghold of Benghazi where he was opening a consulate, Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini said he had pledged an aid package for the rebels worth hundreds of millions of euros.
"I think the Qadhafi regime is over and I firmly believe that it is over for a simple reason: we are talking about a person whose closest friends are defecting. He lost his legitimacy in Libya," Frattini said. Western powers have said they expect Qadhafi will be forced out by a process of attrition as air strikes, defections from his entourage and shortages take their toll.
Panos Moumtzis, the UN humanitarian co-ordinator for Libya, told Reuters in Tripoli that some food stocks in areas under Qadhafi's control were likely to last only weeks. "I don't think there's any famine, malnutrition. But the longer the conflict lasts the more the food stocks supplies are going to be depleted, and it's a matter of weeks before the country reaches a critical situation," Moumtzis said.
"The food and the medical supplies is a little bit like a time bomb. At the moment it's under control and it's ok. But if this goes on for quite some time, this will become a major issue," he said. Qadhafi says his forces are fighting armed criminal gangs and al Qaeda militants, and has described the Nato intervention as an act of colonial aggression aimed at grabbing Libya's plentiful oil reserves.
Libyan television showed Qadhafi welcoming Zuma, his first public appearance since May 11. Speculation had been swirling that Qadhafi was injured in a Nato strike or had fled Tripoli. In London, British-based opposition activist Noman Benotman said Libyan forces in Tripoli had arrested two prominent Islamist opponents of Qadhafi, Sami al-Saadi, the spiritual leader of the now defunct Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), and the group's former deputy leader Khalid al-Sharif.
There was no immediate confirmation of the report. The LIFG waged an insurgency against the state in Libya's east in the 1990s and made several failed attempts to assassinate Qadhafi. Saadi and Sharif were among several hundred former LIFG men freed from long prison terms in the last three years under reforms to foster reconciliation with opposition groups.

Copyright Reuters, 2011

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