AGL 40.08 Increased By ▲ 0.08 (0.2%)
AIRLINK 128.95 Decreased By ▼ -0.58 (-0.45%)
BOP 6.77 Increased By ▲ 0.09 (1.35%)
CNERGY 4.51 Decreased By ▼ -0.12 (-2.59%)
DCL 8.58 Decreased By ▼ -0.36 (-4.03%)
DFML 40.90 Decreased By ▼ -0.79 (-1.89%)
DGKC 81.25 Decreased By ▼ -2.52 (-3.01%)
FCCL 32.75 Decreased By ▼ -0.02 (-0.06%)
FFBL 74.05 Decreased By ▼ -1.42 (-1.88%)
FFL 11.78 Increased By ▲ 0.31 (2.7%)
HUBC 110.00 Decreased By ▼ -0.55 (-0.5%)
HUMNL 13.72 Decreased By ▼ -0.84 (-5.77%)
KEL 5.29 Decreased By ▼ -0.10 (-1.86%)
KOSM 7.65 Decreased By ▼ -0.75 (-8.93%)
MLCF 38.40 Decreased By ▼ -1.39 (-3.49%)
NBP 63.75 Increased By ▲ 3.46 (5.74%)
OGDC 194.85 Decreased By ▼ -4.81 (-2.41%)
PAEL 25.68 Decreased By ▼ -0.97 (-3.64%)
PIBTL 7.39 Decreased By ▼ -0.27 (-3.52%)
PPL 155.53 Decreased By ▼ -2.39 (-1.51%)
PRL 25.75 Decreased By ▼ -0.98 (-3.67%)
PTC 17.53 Decreased By ▼ -0.93 (-5.04%)
SEARL 78.50 Decreased By ▼ -3.94 (-4.78%)
TELE 7.88 Decreased By ▼ -0.43 (-5.17%)
TOMCL 33.95 Decreased By ▼ -0.56 (-1.62%)
TPLP 8.45 Decreased By ▼ -0.61 (-6.73%)
TREET 16.22 Decreased By ▼ -1.25 (-7.16%)
TRG 58.51 Decreased By ▼ -2.81 (-4.58%)
UNITY 27.50 Increased By ▲ 0.07 (0.26%)
WTL 1.40 Increased By ▲ 0.02 (1.45%)
BR100 10,442 Increased By 35.3 (0.34%)
BR30 31,193 Decreased By -520.4 (-1.64%)
KSE100 97,893 Increased By 564.7 (0.58%)
KSE30 30,499 Increased By 307 (1.02%)

ARTICLE: Some members of the OPEC+ group of oil-producing nations would need to slash output by an extra 2.31 million barrels per day (bpd) for a month to make up for their oversupply between May and July, an internal OPEC+ report seen by Reuters shows.

That oversupply above OPEC+ agreed targets ought to be compensated for in August and September, the report said.

OPEC+ sources said if additional cuts were spread over more than one month, the daily reduction would be smaller than 2.31 million barrels.

OPEC+ - which includes members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers including Russia - stepped up their joint output cuts to a record 9.7 million bpd in May before tapering them to 7.7 million bpd this month.

In April the impact of the new coronavirus on air and road travel and other areas of the global economy sent benchmark oil prices below $16 a barrel.

The ongoing spread of the virus is now threatening oil demand recovery forecasts.

The OPEC+ report showed the monthly oversupply totals of May, June and July were added to produce the 2.31 million bpd total, that was not the average daily overproduction for the period.

"Real monthly overproduction over the period was much smaller," one OPEC+ source said. "In May it was about 1.3 million bpd, in June 0.5 million bpd and July 0.5 million bpd," a second source said.

That adds up to a total of 70 million barrels, or enough to load 70 large Suezmax tankers.

The report shows OPEC+ expects oil demand in 2020 to fall by 9.1 million bpd, 100,000 bpd more than in its previous forecast, before rising by 7 million bpd in 2021.

However, it also presents an alternative scenario in which a stronger and more-prolonged second wave of infections hits Europe, the United States, India and China in the second half of the year.

Under this scenario, demand is forecast to fall by 11.2 million bpd in 2020, sending OECD commercial oil inventories in the fourth quarter to 233 million barrels above the latest 5-year average, the report showed.

Stocks would stand at 250 million barrels above the latest 5-year average in 2021.

Data shows among OPEC members, Iraq and Nigeria were the least compliant and even the United Arab Emirates, which made additional voluntary cuts in June, overproduced by around 50,000 bpd over the May-July period.

Among non-OPEC participants, Russia and Kazakhstan overproduced by a cumulative 280,000 bpd and 190,000 bpd, respectively, over the three months.-Reuters

Comments

Comments are closed.