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Markets

Copper hits 7-1/2-year peak as companies and speculators buy

  • LME nickel and lead touch one-year highs.
  • Zinc hits highest since May 2019.
  • Copper on track to hit $8,000 on technicals –analyst.
Published November 28, 2020

LONDON: Copper stormed to its highest in 7-1/2 years on Friday as speculators joined industrial users in buying metal as they geared up for a recovering economy boosted by COVID-19 vaccines.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) had gained 1.5% to $7,510.50 a tonne by 1710 GMT, its highest since May 2013.

"There's restocking taking place by manufacturing companies, whose stocks were very low and (who) now need metal after the positive news about vaccines," said Gianclaudio Torlizzi, partner at consultancy T-Commodity in Milan.

Speculators were also continuing to pile in after LME copper broke above the key technical level of $7,300, which opens up a trajectory to the next target of $8,000, he added.

"The technical roadmap is clear and bullish, but in the short term there's room for consolidation. After the China data on Monday we may have a last burst higher and then there's space for consolidation lower."

Chinese data on Monday is expected to show the country's manufacturing expanded at a slightly faster pace in November, according to economists polled by Reuters.

"Monday being month-end does generate some uncertainty for any bulls, given the metal's performance and the possibility for rebalancing/selling," Alastair Munro at broker Marex Spectron said in a note.

LME copper, up 3.2% over the week, has rallied 72% since March on a strong rebound in demand from top consumer China and falling inventories.

Combined copper stockpiles in LME, ShFE, COMEX and Chinese bonded warehouses fell to 692,279 tonnes, their lowest since Oct. 12, driven by a drop in ShFE inventories that fell to a six-year low of 92,912 tonnes, Refinitiv Eikon data showed.

Cash LME lead's discount to the three-month contract has dropped to $9 a tonne, its weakest in about a month and less than half last week's level.

LME lead and nickel both touched one-year highs, with lead surging 3.8% to $2,111.50 a tonne, the biggest one-day gain in eight months, and nickel rising 1.2% to $16,460.

Zinc jumped 1.4% to $2,799 after hitting $2,809, the strongest since May 2019, aluminium rose 1.1% to $1,997, and tin advanced 0.7% to $18,950.

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